{"id":12855350,"date":"2026-01-25T14:14:25","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T19:14:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/?p=12855350"},"modified":"2026-02-07T13:37:19","modified_gmt":"2026-02-07T18:37:19","slug":"psws-weekly-webinar-too-much-to-talk-about-but-well-try","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2026\/01\/25\/psws-weekly-webinar-too-much-to-talk-about-but-well-try\/","title":{"rendered":"PSW&#8217;s Weekly Webinar: Too Much to Talk About (But We&#8217;ll Try)! 1-21-26"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=zUjgB2kkUEI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Too Much to Talk About (But We&#8217;ll Try)! (1\/21\/2026)<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zUjgB2kkUEI?si=eXEsopLaPnU8hsPG\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timeline<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>0:00 \u2013 Pivot Points vs. Sentiment and Trend Analysis<br \/>\n1:05 \u2013 Analyzing Bounce Lines (Strong vs. Weak Retrace)<br \/>\n1:55 \u2013 Calculating the 5% Rule and Retracement Levels<br \/>\n3:33 \u2013 Reliability of Technical Support and Pivot Points<br \/>\n4:30 \u2013 Using Flexible Grids and Different Time Frames<br \/>\n5:35 \u2013 Futures and S&amp;P 500 Consolidation Analysis<br \/>\n5:58 \u2013 Spike-to-Spike vs. Base-to-Base Charting<br \/>\n8:05 \u2013 Testing Support and Resistance Calculations<br \/>\n11:45 \u2013 Timing Options Entries and Exits<br \/>\n12:12 \u2013 Channel Trading Strategy (e.g., Barrick Gold)<br \/>\n14:23 \u2013 Delta and Option Pricing Calculations<br \/>\n16:20 \u2013 Concept of Filling Option Spreads<br \/>\n18:25 \u2013 Daily Market Performance and VIX Update<br \/>\n19:30 \u2013 Identifying Lower-Zone Consolidation<br \/>\n21:18 \u2013 Geopolitical Commentary (Greenland, Trade, History)<br \/>\n26:40 \u2013 Round Table Report: Treasury Notes and Interest Rates<br \/>\n27:40 \u2013 National Debt Calculations and Budget Impact<br \/>\n31:18 \u2013 Tariff Policy and Trade War Implications<br \/>\n35:45 \u2013 Analysts\u2019 Nuances: Japan Bonds and Housing Policy<br \/>\n39:20 \u2013 Magnificent 7 Performance Review<br \/>\n40:15 \u2013 Historical P\/E Ratios and Bank Income Trends<br \/>\n42:15 \u2013 Congressional Activity and Legislative Trends<br \/>\n43:20 \u2013 Top Trade Alert Analysis: Generac (GNRC)<br \/>\n45:25 \u2013 Rolling and Hedging Option Strategies<br \/>\n53:00 \u2013 Watchlist Review: Performance of A\u2013L Stocks<br \/>\n1:06:50 \u2013 Strategy and \u201cAI-Driven\u201d Value Investing Philosophy<br \/>\n1:07:35 \u2013 Watchlist Review: Performance of N\u2013Z Stocks<br \/>\n1:11:10 \u2013 Specific Stock Case Studies (AT&amp;T, Target, Whirlpool)<br \/>\n1:18:50 \u2013 \u201cFinal Four\u201d Trade of the Year Selection (Pfizer)<br \/>\n1:21:30 \u2013 Compounding Returns\u00a0<br \/>\n1:27:10 \u2013 Market Sentiment: Waiting for Earnings and Macro Clarity<br \/>\n1:32:50 \u2013 Q&amp;A<br \/>\n1:45:30 \u2013 News Reaction: Greenland \/ NATO Trade Update<\/p>\n<p><strong>Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"241\" data-end=\"1177\">Phil blends technical market mechanics, options strategy, and macro-geopolitical context, with a strong emphasis on disciplined trading frameworks and patience in uncertain conditions. The early part of the discussion focuses on pivot points and retracement levels as objective tools for understanding market structure. He explains how pivot points differ from sentiment indicators and why they are most effective when used alongside trend context rather than in isolation. A recurring theme is the distinction between strong and weak bounces, using bounce lines and retracement depth\u2014including the 5% Rule\u2014to judge whether a move represents genuine continuation or just noise. Timeframe selection is central to this process: shorter charts are useful for entries, while longer charts help filter out false signals. Reliable support and resistance, he notes, tend to emerge from consolidation zones rather than emotional price extremes.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1179\" data-end=\"1588\">Phil then shifts into options execution and risk management, walking through how delta influences option pricing, why spreads often \u201cfill\u201d before expiration, and how aligning entries with technical levels improves probabilities. The focus is less on prediction and more on structure\u2014letting trades develop, managing risk through spreads, and avoiding the temptation to force positions in uncertain conditions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1590\" data-end=\"1986\">Market conditions are framed as low-energy and range-bound, with futures consolidation, lower-zone trading, and subdued volatility reflected in the VIX. In this environment, Phil argues, patience is an edge. Income strategies and spreads tend to outperform aggressive directional bets, especially as traders wait for clearer signals from earnings and macro developments before committing capital.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1988\" data-end=\"2374\">The conversation broadens into macro and geopolitical territory, touching on Greenland and NATO tensions, tariffs and trade-war dynamics, and the arithmetic of Treasury yields, national debt, and budget pressures. These issues are consistently tied back to markets\u2014particularly interest rates, bonds, and long-term valuation dynamics\u2014rather than treated as short-term trading catalysts.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2376\" data-end=\"2864\">Phil also reviews equity performance, including the Magnificent 7, historical P\/E ratios, banking income trends, and the policy backdrop shaping markets. A central theme emerges around a 2026 strategy grounded in what he describes as \u201cAI-driven value investing,\u201d emphasizing durable cash flow, pricing power, and compounding over hype. Specific stock case studies and a \u201cFinal Four\u201d trade selection, highlighted by Pfizer, serve to illustrate disciplined selection and long-term thinking.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2866\" data-end=\"3221\">Phil closes with a renewed focus on compounding returns\u2014the \u201c300% goal\u201d\u2014along with reinforcement of patience during uncertainty, a Q&amp;A on individual tickers, and brief reactions to geopolitical news. Throughout, the message remains consistent: structure over emotion, probability over prediction, and discipline over excitement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Too Much to Talk About (But We&#8217;ll Try)! (1\/21\/2026) Timeline 0:00 \u2013 Pivot Points vs. Sentiment and Trend Analysis 1:05 \u2013 Analyzing Bounce Lines (Strong vs. Weak Retrace) 1:55 \u2013 Calculating the 5% Rule and Retracement Levels 3:33 \u2013 Reliability of Technical Support and Pivot Points 4:30 \u2013 Using Flexible Grids and Different Time Frames [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12857085,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19951,45,21,1,12,26306],"tags":[969,22131,26919],"class_list":{"0":"post-12855350","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-chart-school","8":"category-appears-on-main-page","9":"category-available","10":"category-uncategorized","11":"category-phils-favorites","12":"category-webinars","13":"tag-charts","14":"tag-webinar","15":"tag-webinars"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12855350","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12855350"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12855350\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12857081,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12855350\/revisions\/12857081"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12857085"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12855350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12855350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12855350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}