{"id":12850798,"date":"2025-12-03T08:04:59","date_gmt":"2025-12-03T13:04:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/?p=12850798"},"modified":"2025-12-14T13:35:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T18:35:58","slug":"philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/","title":{"rendered":"PhilStockWorld\u2019s 2026 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12464627 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"351\" height=\"161\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1.jpg 2534w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-300x138.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-1024x470.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-768x352.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-1536x704.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-2048x939.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-150x69.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-696x319.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-1068x490.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Who_Watches_the_Watchmen1-1920x880.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 351px) 100vw, 351px\" \/><strong>Our last major Watch List update was published on August 3rd, 2025, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/08\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Part 1<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/08\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Part 2<\/a>. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Back then, we were just beginning to see the reality of the new tariff regime and renewed inflation getting priced into the market.\u00a0We had plenty of great ideas in August and we added a lot of them to our Member Portfolios but the macro picture has since shifted from &#8220;<em>threat<\/em>&#8221; to &#8220;<em>reality<\/em>&#8221; &#8211; even as the market has raced up to record highs in the past 4 months. The 10\u201335% Global Tariffs are no longer hypothetical &#8211; they are the baseline! The &#8220;<em>soft landing<\/em>&#8221; is looking harder, with US GDP projected to slow to 2.4% in 2026 &#8211; and even that may be optimistic.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>We started new Member Portfolios in June and they have done very well in the rally but we are still sitting on close to 50% CASH!!! and that means we&#8217;re in very good shape to take advantage of bargains when they are presented to us &#8211; but let&#8217;s make sure they are actually bargains and not just satisfying an unscratched itch to buy&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12850799\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1240\" height=\"928\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025.png 1240w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-1024x766.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-768x575.png 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-150x112.png 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-696x521.png 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-1068x799.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPX-Dec-3-2025-265x198.png 265w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1240px) 100vw, 1240px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>One of the most critical trading skills, especially in markets like this, is knowing when your wins came from both skill and luck. Our 5% Rule\u2122 and technical toolset gave us a decisive edge in 2025, capturing the rangebound whipsaws and profitably timing several major turns. But let\u2019s be real: the deft trade management only gets you so far when policy chaos and macro storm clouds keep rolling in. Luck played its part, and knowing when to take gains off the table is absolutely essential \u2013 <strong>especially with today\u2019s level of uncertainty!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;<em>certainty premium<\/em>&#8221; in this market is thin. We\u2019ve seen the Fed sidelined by sticky inflation (driven by those very tariffs), leaving rates higher for longer than the bulls hoped. The easy money has been made, and now we face a stock picker&#8217;s market defined by a &#8220;<em>Macro Minefield<\/em>&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/hktoiYZyOLA?si=HvgBavnGpoPIN3Uy\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>We are not just carrying over our old list. To win in 2026, we must be ruthless. We are applying our usual &#8220;<em>F, Marry, Kill<\/em>&#8221; filter to our August holdings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>F<\/strong> (Attractive New Additions): We are hunting for the &#8220;<em>Picks and Shovels<\/em>&#8221; of the next cycle. This means AI Infrastructure (semiconductors and hardware) and, crucially, the Utilities and Energy plays required to power them.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marry<\/strong> (Stocks We&#8217;re Sticking With): We are doubling down on Defensive and Quality names. Healthcare and Consumer Staples have proven to be our safety nets, offering yields in the 3\u20136% range while the broader market churns and perfect for our income-creation strategies.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kill<\/strong> (Elimination): We are cutting loose the dead weight. Sectors like Consumer Discretionary and Retail that are vulnerable to tariff-driven margin compression and ever-weakening Consumer Sentiment are being purged. If a company can&#8217;t pass on costs in a slowing economy, it doesn&#8217;t belong here!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/napkinfinance.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/NapkinFinance-RiskReward-Napkin-10-13-20-v06.jpg\" alt=\"Risk VS Reward\" width=\"349\" height=\"349\" \/>Watch List Methodology \u2013 2026 Outlook:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Our Approach:<\/strong> We remain long-term, Fundamental Investors. We don&#8217;t chase headlines; we chase cash flow.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Constant Re-Evaluation:<\/strong> This Watch List is a Research Funnel. As we stare down a year of projected 2.4% growth (or less), we demand a &#8220;<em>margin of safety<\/em>&#8221; before deploying our cash.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Not Gung-Ho:<\/strong> We are still &#8220;<em>toe in the water.<\/em>&#8221; We layer in protection with hedges and scale into high-conviction ideas only when the price is right.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>As always: If a stock on the list drops, it gets more interesting. That\u2019s when we do our deepest digging, challenging both the thesis and the market\u2019s narrative. If something changes, we pivot. If not, we sharpen our pencils for disciplined, incremental buying \u2013 not bravado bets. This is a time for careful watching, re-evaluation, and PATIENCE \u2013 time for letting the market work for you, not on you!<\/p>\n<p><strong>This list is our map for the uncertain economic seas of 2026. Let\u2019s use it to prepare, not predict, and to find the companies that can thrive even when the macro environment tries to hold them back:<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12850800 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"350\" height=\"318\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025.jpg 951w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025-300x273.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025-768x698.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025-150x136.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Kill-List-Dec-2-2025-696x632.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/>The Kill List (A-M): The Dead Weight<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><em>These stocks are being removed because they are vulnerable to the 2026 macro headwinds: slowing GDP, tariff costs they cannot pass on, and weak consumer discretionary spending.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Abercrombie &amp; Fitch (ANF):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Retail apparel is in the crosshairs of the new tariff regime. While they have managed inventory well, the macro risk to consumer spending is too high.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cheesecake Factory (CAKE):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Restaurant margins are being squeezed by food inflation and labor costs. We are avoiding casual dining.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dollar General (DG):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> While a discount retailer should work in a slowdown, they are struggling with margins and tariff impacts on their imported inventory.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dow Inc. (DOW):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Cyclical chemical producer facing a soft demand environment and elevated input costs.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Foot Locker (FL):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Retail turnaround story that is running out of time. Vulnerable to consumer spending cuts.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jack in the Box (JACK):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Inflation is hurting fast-food traffic. Restaurant-level margins are dropping.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kelly Services (KELYA):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Staffing is the canary in the coal mine for a recession. We are exiting before the labor market softens further.<\/li>\n<li><strong>LABU:<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> This 3x leveraged biotech ETF is a trading vehicle, not an investment. Too much volatility decay for a Watch List.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mattel (MAT):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Toy sales are discretionary and highly seasonal. Not the defensive profile we want.<\/li>\n<li><strong>MGM Resorts (MGM):<\/strong> <strong>Kill.<\/strong> Gaming and hospitality are vulnerable to the consumer slowdown.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>F: Attractive New Additions (A-M)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><em>The &#8220;Picks and Shovels&#8221; of the AI and Energy Supercycles.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>AMAT (Applied Materials) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Thesis:<\/strong> AI &#8220;<em>Picks and Shovels<\/em>.&#8221; While NVIDIA makes the headlines, Applied Materials makes the machines that make the chips. As the AI investment supercycle drives spending to $3\u20134 trillion by 2030, semiconductor equipment demand is structural, not just cyclical. We are targeting AMAT for 20\u201330% upside as the sector normalizes and demand for custom silicon grows.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AVGO (Broadcom) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Thesis:<\/strong> Custom Silicon &amp; Infrastructure Leader. Despite their 40x forward earnings, we are still looking at Broadcom as an interesting long. They are the dominant player in custom AI accelerators (for clients like Google and Meta) and essential networking gear. Unlike pure hype plays, AVGO has incredible margins (approx. 38%) and massive free cash flow. They are the infrastructure backbone of the AI buildout.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CEG (Constellation Energy) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Thesis:<\/strong> Powering the AI Revolution. Utilities have transformed from boring defensive stocks to growth stories. AI data centers require 4\u20136x more power than traditional facilities, and they need &#8220;<em>always-on<\/em>&#8221; baseload power. Constellation owns the largest nuclear fleet in the US, providing the carbon-free, inelastic power tech giants are desperate for. Management is guiding for 8\u201310% EPS growth, driven by this data center demand. A bit expensive at the moment but well-worth watching.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<li><strong>DUK (Duke Energy) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Thesis:<\/strong> Grid Infrastructure Growth. Located in key data center corridors, Duke is a direct beneficiary of the surge in power demand. They are not just a utility; they are a growth platform for the grid upgrades required by the AI economy.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<h3><strong>Marry: The Core Holdings (A-M)<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><em>Stocks we are sticking with: Defensive, Quality, and Yield.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><strong>AAPL (Apple) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry<\/strong> (Accumulate on Dips). <strong>Why:<\/strong> The fortress balance sheet. Despite a $1.1 billion hit from tariffs, Apple\u2019s Services division continues to grow, and their &#8220;<em>pull-ahead<\/em>&#8221; demand shows brand resilience. We are watching the $165\u2013170 range for entry.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AKAM (Akamai) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Infrastructure and Security. Akamai has successfully pivoted from just content delivery to cloud security and edge computing. It\u2019s a cash-generating machine trading at under 12x forward earnings.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AZN (AstraZeneca) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Healthcare Defense. With a strong oncology pipeline and a $50 billion US expansion plan to insulate against tariffs, AZN is a &#8220;Strong Buy&#8221; for the long term. They are targeting $80 billion in revenue by 2030.<\/li>\n<li><strong>B (Barrick Gold) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> The Inflation Hedge. Gold is our insurance policy against central bank chaos and sticky inflation. Barrick also gives us Copper exposure, which is critical for the energy transition.<\/li>\n<li><strong>BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> The Ultimate Safety Net. With over $344 billion in cash, Berkshire is the most &#8220;anti-fragile&#8221; portfolio component we can own. As Warren Buffett transitions leadership, the portfolio of insurers, railroads, and energy provides stability.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CAT (Caterpillar) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Real Assets require Real Machines. While cyclical, Caterpillar benefits from global infrastructure spending and mining demand (for those AI\/Energy metals). A weak dollar (if it occurs) helps their exports.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> The Tariff Play. As a domestic steel producer, CLF is a direct beneficiary of the 50% tariffs on imported steel. They are critical to US manufacturing independence.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CMCSA (Comcast) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Cash Flow Cow. Trading at just 8.5x earnings with a 3.4% yield, Comcast is a value beast. Their broadband and parks businesses generate the cash we need for income strategies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CNX (CNX Resources) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> The Natural Gas Thesis. As AI data centers demand more power, natural gas is the bridge fuel. CNX is a low-cost Appalachian producer buying back its own stock aggressively.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CSCO (Cisco) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Tech Dividends. Cisco is transitioning to software and security (Splunk acquisition) and saw strong Q1 AI orders. It pays a solid yield and is a stable place to park cash in tech.<\/li>\n<li><strong>CVS (CVS Health) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Deep Value Healthcare. Trading at ~4.3x forward earnings (adjusted) with a yield over 4%, the bad news is priced in. The new management is cutting costs and closing stores to restore profitability.<\/li>\n<li><strong>DIS (Disney) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Quality Turnaround. Streaming has finally reached profitability, and the Parks are printing money. We are sticking with the Mouse as they execute their cost-cutting and content turnaround.<\/li>\n<li><strong>EPD (Enterprise Products) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Energy Infrastructure. This is our favorite midstream play. They yield nearly 7% and provide the pipelines and processing required for the US energy boom. Their cash flow is fee-based, insulating us from commodity price swings.<\/li>\n<li><strong>ET (Energy Transfer) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry (Income).<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Yield Monster. A 7.4% yield from a massive network of pipelines. It\u2019s an income anchor for the portfolio.<\/li>\n<li><strong>FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Strategic Copper. You cannot build AI data centers, EVs, or wind farms without copper. FCX is the premier non-Chinese copper play. We accumulate on dips.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GILD (Gilead Sciences) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Biotech Income. A nearly 3% yield and a dominant HIV franchise make this a solid defensive hold. Their oncology business is growing double-digits.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GIS (General Mills) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Consumer Staple. People have to eat. GIS offers a nearly 5% yield and low volatility, acting as a bond-proxy in our portfolio.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GLW (Corning) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> AI Connectivity. Corning makes the fiber optic cable required to wire data centers for AI. They also benefit from &#8220;Made in America&#8221; incentives. Recent results showed strong growth driven by AI demand.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GOOGL (Alphabet) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> AI &amp; Cash. Despite fears about search competition, Google is a cash fortress with a P\/E around 17-18x\u2014far cheaper than other &#8220;Mag 7&#8221; names. Their cloud business is booming, and they are successfully monetizing AI integration.<\/li>\n<li><strong>IBM (International Business Machines) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Enterprise AI. IBM is quietly dominating the enterprise AI consulting space with a $3 billion pipeline. They pay a solid dividend and are a stable, defensive tech holding.<\/li>\n<li><strong>JNJ (Johnson &amp; Johnson) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> The AAA Standard. One of the only AAA-rated companies left. With a 3.2% yield and a diversified healthcare empire, JNJ is the definition of &#8220;Safety&#8221; for 2026.<\/li>\n<li><strong>JPM (JPMorgan Chase) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Best in Breed Bank. In a volatile financial world, money flees to quality. Jamie Dimon\u2019s fortress balance sheet makes JPM the bank to own.<\/li>\n<li><strong>KHC (Kraft Heinz) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Yield &amp; Staples. A 6% dividend yield is hard to ignore. They are modernizing their supply chain to protect margins. A classic defensive play for a slowing economy.<\/li>\n<li><strong>KMB (Kimberly-Clark) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Paper Profits. 52 years of dividend increases. Their &#8220;Powering Care&#8221; restructuring is protecting margins from inflation.<\/li>\n<li><strong>KO (Coca-Cola) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Pricing Power. Coke has proven it can raise prices without losing customers. It yields ~3% and is the ultimate &#8220;sleep well at night&#8221; stock.<\/li>\n<li><strong>LMT (Lockheed Martin) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Geopolitical Hedge. Global instability requires defense spending. LMT has a massive backlog and its contracts protect it from inflation\/tariffs via cost-plus structures.<\/li>\n<li><strong>MDT (Medtronic) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Medical Tech Leader. Trading at 16-17x earnings with a 3.2% yield. Their new product cycle in diabetes and cardiovascular tech is driving growth despite macro headwinds.<\/li>\n<li><strong>MP (MP Materials) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry (Strategic).<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> National Security. MP is the only scaled rare earth producer in the Western Hemisphere. If trade wars with China escalate, MP is a strategic national asset.<\/li>\n<li><strong>MRK (Merck) \u2014<\/strong> <strong>Status:<\/strong> <strong>Marry.<\/strong> <strong>Why:<\/strong> Oncology King. Keytruda continues to drive massive cash flow, which they are using to acquire new pipelines. A defensive pharma name with growth kickers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Obviously, these are outlines for now as the list is massive and we&#8217;ll be refining it further over the next two weeks.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"aapl--still-great-now-clearly-too-loved\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AAPL \u2013 still great, now clearly \u201ctoo loved\u201d<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Now: Around $278\u2013279, with 2025 revenue ~$416B (+6.4% YoY) and earnings ~$112B (+19.5% YoY). Forward P\/E ~34, near the upper end of its own history and well above the market, with a consensus target only a few percent above here.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/aapl\/history\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">stockanalysis<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Macro\/structure: Tariff and supply\u2011chain pressures are not hypothetical anymore; they\u2019re baked into margins and capex. Services\/AI remain strong, but you\u2019re clearly paying a premium certainty multiple into a rising\u2011rate, tariff\u2011heavy world.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/aapl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">stockanalysis<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Stays on the list, but <strong>firmly \u201c<em>buy only on real dip<\/em>\u201d<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Raise discipline: think scaled entries only if it revisits the mid\u2011$260s and gets more interesting again closer to your original $165\u2013170 \u201c<em>dream<\/em>\u201d zone in a real macro scare. Above $270 with a 30s forward P\/E, it\u2019s a <strong>Marry, but not at this price<\/strong> situation.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=aapl&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"agnc--income-slot-a-bit-richer\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AGNC \u2013 income slot, a bit richer<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Now: Trading around $10.4\u201310.5 recently, versus $9.48 in August; yield still mid\u2011teens on the $0.12\/month, book value in the high\u2011$7s to low\u2011$8s and highly sensitive to rate\/curve moves.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.digrin.com\/stocks\/detail\/AGNC\/price\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">digrin<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Environment: 10\u2011year near 4.2% and still volatile; spreads have improved from the worst of 2023\u201324 but book and earnings remain rate\u2011path toys.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Remain \u201c<em>Income Watch Only<\/em>.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Given the move back over $10, it\u2019s less of a bargain than at &lt;$9; your \u201caccumulate sub\u2011$9 if spreads stabilize\u201d framing still makes sense. Up here it\u2019s <strong>Harvest\/hold if you must own yield<\/strong>, not a fresh buy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=agnc&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"akam--still-the-same-thesis-price-more-favorable\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AKAM \u2013 still the same thesis, price more favorable<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Now: Trading low\u2011mid $80s (recent prints ~$83\u201385), market cap ~$11B, trailing P\/E mid\u201120s but forward P\/E near 11\u201312, with analysts still modeling mid\u2011single\u2011digit top\u2011line and better margins as mix shifts to security\/edge.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/akam\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">stockanalysis<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Business: Revenue around $4.0B, margins under pressure from the CDN legacy, but security and edge remain the growth engines; cash flow still solid, no dividend, ongoing buybacks.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.indmoney.com\/us-stocks\/akamai-technologies-inc-share-price-akam\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">indmoney<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~$80s it\u2019s actually <em>closer<\/em> to your desired risk\/reward than at $74 with higher expectations; the story has de\u2011rated somewhat while fundamentals just ground forward.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep it <strong>\u201c<em>Still Watching, value\u2011leaning<\/em>\u201d<\/strong> with a <strong>buy\u2011zone in the low\u2011$70s<\/strong>. If the market gives you a risk\u2011off flush that takes it back to $70\u201372, that\u2019s where it deserves serious attention as a \u201c<em>Marry<\/em>\u201d\u2011type core position in the infra bucket.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=akam&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"amat--still-a-top-ai-shovel-but-in-the-be-picky-zo\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AMAT \u2013 still a top AI \u201cshovel,\u201d but in the \u201cbe picky\u201d zone<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Applied is doing exactly what the thesis promised: semicap spending is holding up as AI, custom accelerators, and advanced nodes drive tool demand, and AMAT\u2019s revenue and earnings are near record levels with solid margins. Recent numbers show low\u2011single\u2011digit top\u2011line growth year\u2011over\u2011year, high\u201120s to low\u201130s P\/E on trailing earnings, and a market cap north of $200B. The stock is up more than 50% over the last 12 months and now trades near its 52\u2011week high (~$270), well above most published 12\u2011month price targets, which are actually\u00a0<strong>below<\/strong>\u00a0spot (many clustered in the low\u2011$220s).\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">That tells you sentiment has gotten well ahead of the sell\u2011side. The secular story (AI, HBM, specialty logic, foundry\/packaging) is very much intact; the risk is simply\u00a0<strong>how much you\u2019re paying for it<\/strong>\u00a0this far into the run, especially with a beta &gt;1.5 and very obvious AI\u2011crowding.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket:\u00a0<strong>Still \u201cF \u2013 Marry hybrid\u201d in your AI picks\u2011and\u2011shovels sleeve<\/strong>, but\u00a0<strong>not<\/strong>\u00a0a \u201cbuy at any price.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat current $260s\u2013270s as\u00a0<strong>hold\/watch<\/strong>\u00a0territory, not fresh\u2011buy levels.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Look to\u00a0<strong>scale in only on real pullbacks<\/strong>\u2014for example into the low\u2011$230s or below\u2014when an AI\/semis wobble takes some heat out, but long\u2011term foundry and AI capex plans are clearly continuing. At those levels, valuation relative to earnings and targets looks more balanced.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=amat&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"avgo--premier-custom-silicon--infra-but-fully-pric\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AVGO \u2013 premier custom<\/h2>\n<h2 id=\"arcb--deep-value-with-macro-beta\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">ARCB \u2013 deep value with macro beta<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Now: Still in the $70 area after a 40%+ drawdown from the first watch, trading roughly high single\u2011digit to low\u2011double\u2011digit P\/E on depressed earnings, with consensus targets in the high\u2011$80s\/low\u2011$90s.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/Overview\/PPG\/Summary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">marketchameleon<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+3<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Macro: Exactly the wrong part of the cycle\u2014tariffs, freight softness, wage pressure. But balance sheet and tech\/asset\u2011light model are real pluses.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/fintool.com\/app\/research\/companies\/PPG\/documents\/transcripts\/q3-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">fintool<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep as <strong>\u201c<em>high\u2011beta deep value<\/em>\u201d<\/strong> on the list, but clearly in the <strong>\u201c<em>F<\/em>\u201d not \u201c<em>Marry<\/em>\u201d<\/strong> bucket: a trade when industrials\/transport sentiment turns, not something to load up on before you see stabilization in manufacturing and rates.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Only upgrade to active buy if you see both: signs that industrial demand has bottomed, and the stock still sitting at or below current levels.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=arcb&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"apd--high-quality-now-with-execution-risk-showing\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">APD \u2013 high quality, now with execution risk showing<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Since August, APD has popped and then been hit by the Yara low\u2011emission ammonia partnership headlines and investor call, with the stock dropping sharply on concerns about capex, project risk, and capital allocation.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/news\/reuters.com,2025-12-08:newsml_Wkr3vNsFQ:0-air-products-and-yara-in-advanced-negotiations-to-partner-on-low-emission-ammonia-projects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">tradingview<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The core story (industrial gases + long\u2011term hydrogen\/ammonia offtake projects) is intact, but the recent 8%+ gap shows just how sensitive the stock is to perceived execution or funding risk on mega\u2011projects.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Stays <strong>high quality, but not \u201c<em>must chase<\/em>\u201d<\/strong> at rich multiples.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep it on the list as a <strong>\u201c<em>buy on real dislocation<\/em>\u201d<\/strong> name: you want it when the market overreacts to project news (like today) and gives you a shot closer to mid\u2011teens forward P\/E, not when it\u2019s priced for flawless hydrogen roll\u2011out.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=apd%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"arcc--still-the-bdc-benchmark-buy-more-on-dips\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">ARCC \u2013 still the BDC benchmark, buy more on dips<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Since your August note, ARCC has continued to behave like the benchmark BDC: NAV stable to slightly up, dividend well\u2011covered, and credit quality still solid with low non\u2011accruals.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketbeat.com\/instant-alerts\/ppg-industries-nyseppg-issues-fy-2025-earnings-guidance-2025-10-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">marketbeat<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Rates remain high, which supports portfolio yields but keeps default risk on the radar; ARCC\u2019s size and conservative underwriting still give it an edge over smaller, riskier BDCs.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep ARCC as a <strong>\u201cMarry for income\u201d<\/strong> candidate: core BDC exposure with a management team that\u2019s proven through cycles.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">New money: ideally wait for ~8.5\u20139%+ yield on a pullback (i.e., price softens a bit) rather than chasing every uptick; your original \u201cbuy on correction\u201d stance still fits.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=arcc%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"avgo--premier-custom-silicon--infra-but-fully-pric\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AVGO \u2013 premier custom silicon + infra, but fully priced for perfection<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Broadcom has become the poster child for \u201cAI infrastructure toll\u2011booth\u201d: custom accelerators for hyperscalers, networking and connectivity, and huge recurring software from the VMware combined portfolio. Revenues were up more than 20% year\u2011over\u2011year in the latest quarter, with very high EBITDA margins, and analysts keep ratcheting price targets into the mid\u2011$400s+ as AI orders swell. The stock is now around $400\u2013405, up sharply over the past year, with a P\/E that looks very high on trailing numbers and still rich on forward estimates.\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The secular thesis hasn\u2019t changed: if you want a single\u2011name expression of AI custom silicon + networking + high\u2011margin software, this is it. The concern is simply that\u00a0<strong>everyone knows that<\/strong>, and the market is paying an aggressive multiple for growth that\u2019s already in the forecasts, with a beta &gt;2 and very crowded positioning.\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket:\u00a0<strong>Still \u201cF\/Marry hybrid\u201d AI infra anchor<\/strong>, but\u00a0<strong>squarely in \u201cdon\u2019t chase\u201d territory.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep it on the list, but only for\u00a0<strong>disciplined entries on real air\u2011pockets<\/strong>\u2014for instance, an AI\u2011correction that drags AVGO back into the low\u2011$300s, or at least closer to the bottom of the recent range, while order growth and margins remain solid.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At current levels, any new buys should be\u00a0<strong>small, satellite\u2011position sized<\/strong>, not a core build.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=avgo&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"azn--defensive-growth-tariffs-partly-defused\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">AZN \u2013 defensive growth, tariffs partly defused<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">AZN\u2019s Q2 strength (oncology + US) and the $50B US build\u2011out to neutralize pharma tariff risk are still the right framing; since then, the US 2025 critical\u2011minerals and tariff agenda has only reinforced the importance of on\u2011shore pharma capacity.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/news\/science-snippet\/interior-department-releases-final-2025-list-critical-minerals\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">usgs<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The stock is still below prior peaks with mid\u2011single\u2011digit revenue growth and low\u2011double\u2011digit EPS growth guided, and the Street remains bullish with targets materially above the $70s.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.supplychaindive.com\/news\/usgs-releases-2025-list-of-us-essential-minerals\/805364\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">supplychaindive<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep as <strong>\u201cStill Watching, leaning toward Marry on dips\u201d<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your buy\u2011zone of $68\u201372 remains sensible; closer to $90 it slides into \u201chold\/trade,\u201d but in the low\u201170s it\u2019s a solid long\u2011term compounder: big pipeline, US\u2011heavy strategy, and tariff insulation.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=azn&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"b-barrick--ready-to-accumulate-stands\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">B (Barrick) \u2013 ready to accumulate stands<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Gold has remained elevated and copper structurally tight, while Barrick has kept AISC under control and continued to advance Reko Diq and Lumwana, with the balance sheet in good shape and buybacks\/dividends ongoing.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Pebble_Mine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">wikipedia<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The stock still lags spot gold and trades at a discount to NAV\/book versus peers, which hasn\u2019t changed in your disfavour.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201c<em>Ready to Accumulate<\/em>\u201d stays the right label.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This is a straightforward <strong>Marry for metals exposure<\/strong>: high\u2011quality, diversified, low\u2011cost, with both gold and copper upside. Keep adding on weakness; don\u2019t overcomplicate it.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=B&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;pm=0&amp;am=0&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ba--still-watch-and-wait-not-yet-investable-core\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BA \u2013 still \u201c<em>watch and wait<\/em>,\u201d not yet investable core<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Boeing has continued to grind through quality, regulatory, and cash\u2011flow issues despite labor peace and a massive backlog; FAA scrutiny and production caps keep pushing out the clean\u2011turnaround timeline.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/swot-analysis\/ppgs-swot-analysis-paint-giants-stock-faces-mixed-outlook-amid-strategic-shift-93CH-4218275\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">investing<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The stock has rallied on \u201cit can\u2019t get worse\u201d sentiment, but consistent profitability and a predictable FCF profile still aren\u2019t there.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep BA as a <strong>high\u2011risk \u201cF\u201d (fling) \/ trade, not a Marry<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Only upgrade toward buy if you get:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Several clean quarters of positive FCF,<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Evidence FAA is easing off emergency\u2011style oversight, and<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">A pullback that pays you for remaining political and execution risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=ba%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bax--transformation-value-still-a-marry-on-dips\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BAX \u2013 transformation value, still a \u201c<em>Marry on dips<\/em>\u201d<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Since August, Baxter has continued to execute on the post\u2013Kidney Care split plan: focused portfolio, debt reduction, and margin work. The stock is still priced below pre\u2011spin norms and at a discount to medtech peers on EV\/EBITDA and forward P\/E, despite decent organic growth and product traction (Novum IQ, etc.).<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/northerndynastyminerals.com\/pebble-project\/project-overview\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">northerndynastyminerals<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The main overhangs are execution on the slimmer portfolio and hospital capex budgets; nothing new has broken the thesis.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/strong> and treat BAX as a <strong>Marry\u2011type<\/strong> medtech value.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your $30-ish reference now looks rich relative to where it traded in August; for new money, prioritize <strong>mid\u2011$20s or better<\/strong> as the scale\u2011in zone. Transformation + valuation still make sense.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=bax&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bby--income--cyclicality-still-only-a-ftrade\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BBY \u2013 income + cyclicality, still only a \u201cF\u201d\/trade<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Best Buy is still fighting a weak big\u2011ticket cycle, share encroachment from WMT\/COST\/HD\/AMZN, and flat\u2011to\u2011down comps. The dividend (5%+) and balance sheet remain solid, but top\u2011line growth is scarce and guidance stays cautious.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-december-9-2025-11864888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">investopedia<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"Morning Report 9 Dec 25: US stocks drop as investors wait for Fed rate decision\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px cursor-pointer font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle\">youtube<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~$60s, valuation is not demanding (single\u2011digit P\/E on depressed earnings), but the structural competitive pressures haven\u2019t eased.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cStill Watching,\u201d not yet an accumulate.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This is an <strong>\u201cF\u201d (fling)\/cycle bet<\/strong>, not a Marry: only get serious if you see clearer signs of a consumer electronics turn or if panic pricing drags it into the low\u2011$50s with the dividend still safe.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=bby%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bcs--turnaround-mostly-priced-hold-for-pullbacks\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BCS \u2013 turnaround mostly priced; hold for pullbacks<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Barclays has already re\u2011rated from deep value to \u201creasonably valued quality\u201d: RoTE in the low\u2011teens, capital strong, Tesco Bank integration accretive, and large capital return plans in place.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/Overview\/PPG\/Summary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">marketchameleon<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~$19 and ~10x forward earnings with decent dividend + buybacks, the easy money from the single\u2011digit P\/E and sub\u2011book days is behind you.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Remain \u201cStill Watching\u201d with a clear \u201cbuy only on pullbacks\u201d stance.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">It\u2019s a <strong>respectable Marry<\/strong>, but only if macro\/UK risk gives you another scare and lets you in closer to low\u2011teens % discount to your current level (say, mid\u2011teens $) rather than chasing the post\u2011turnaround rally.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=bcs%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bhp--quality-miner-but-execution--china-keep-it-wa\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BHP \u2013 quality miner, but execution + China keep it \u201cwait for better price\u201d<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">BHP still has the same mix: world\u2011class iron ore, growing copper, big potash bet (Jansen) with cost overruns and long timelines, elevated capex, and heavy dependence on China\u2019s industrial cycle.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/5-biggest-critical-mineral-mines-220000882.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">finance.yahoo<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Dividend remains robust, balance sheet fine, but near\u2011term EPS is under pressure from softer iron ore margins and capex drag.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cStill Watching.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">It\u2019s a <strong>Marry\u2011candidate on the right price<\/strong>, not here. Your $46\u201348 add zone remains sensible; above $50 with Jansen uncertainty and China risk, upside is modest versus the macro risk you\u2019re taking.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=bhp&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bmy--bristol-myers-squibb-add-deepvalue-pharma\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BMY \u2013 Bristol Myers Squibb (Add: deep\u2011value pharma)<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This one\u00a0<em>is<\/em>\u00a0worth adding beside PFE as a second deep\u2011value large\u2011cap pharma.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">BMY trades at around\u00a0<strong>6\u20137x forward earnings<\/strong>\u00a0with a high single\u2011digit earnings yield and a ~4\u20135% dividend, reflecting patent\u2011cliff fears and pipeline skepticism.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At recent conferences, management laid out an aggressive pipeline plan: up to\u00a0<strong>seven new molecular entities<\/strong>\u00a0launched over the next two years, plus lifecycle extensions on Eliquis\u2011successors and oncology assets; early data in small\u2011cell lung cancer via the BioNTech partnership adds upside optionality.<span aria-label=\"Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY): Assessing Valuation After New Pipeline Updates and Growth Strategy Reveal\" data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Despite these updates, the stock price has barely moved over the last year and remains well below levels from three years ago, suggesting the market is\u00a0<strong>pricing in a lot of bad news already<\/strong>\u00a0while under\u2011crediting the new\u2011drug and cost\u2011cut story.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This is almost a textbook\u00a0<strong>\u201cmargin of safety in a defensive sector\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0case: real risks (execution, approvals, price pressure), but a valuation that more than reflects them, and meaningful upside if even part of the pipeline and cost work hits.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Recommendation: Still Watching \u2013 Deep\u2011Value Pharma Anchor<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Add BMY as a\u00a0<strong>Still Watching<\/strong>\u00a0name in the defensive pharma sleeve alongside PFE:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Thesis:<\/strong>\u00a0Large\u2011cap pharma with a compressed multiple, meaningful dividend, and a credible, but not yet fully trusted, pipeline and cost\u2011reduction story.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Buy zone:<\/strong>\u00a0Consider accumulation on dips or stalls while the P\/E remains in the mid\u2011single digits and the dividend is secure; size it modestly until there is clearer evidence that new launches can offset the cliff.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=bmy&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;pm=0&amp;am=0&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bp--yield-with-strategy-drift-trade-dont-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BP \u2013 yield with strategy drift; trade, don\u2019t marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">BP remains a high\u2011yield oil major (~6% dividend) with heavy buybacks, but its strategic story has shifted back toward hydrocarbons and away from an aggressive green pivot, while commodity prices and refining margins stay volatile.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/autos-transportation\/us-minerals-projects-seek-more-support-washington-compete-with-china-2025-12-04\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">reuters<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Balance sheet is improving, but capex and impairments are still juggling acts; you\u2019re paid to wait, but not without risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cStill Watching.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat BP as <strong>income + trading vehicle<\/strong>, not a core Marry: accumulation only makes sense closer to your $46\u201348 zone or after a sector pullback, with confirmation that dividend + buybacks remain intact under whatever new capex path they commit to.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=bp&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"brkb--marry-on-a-good-pullback\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BRK\u2011B \u2013 Marry on a good pullback<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Since August, the Buffett\u2192Abel transition has been digested; the stock\u2019s selloff around the announcement mostly reflected sentiment, not a collapse in operating earnings or balance sheet quality. Operating subs (BNSF, energy, insurance) and the equity portfolio remain solid, and the cash pile is still enormous.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/08\/08\/business\/fannie-freddie-ipo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">cnn<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The key variable now is <strong>price vs. book<\/strong>: the cheaper it trades vs. underlying book and look\u2011through earnings, the better your long\u2011term odds under Abel.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep BRK\u2011B as a <strong>top\u2011tier Marry<\/strong> candidate.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your trigger still makes sense: <strong>get interested near ~1.4\u00d7 book value<\/strong> or any panic that takes another 10\u201315% off; otherwise it stays \u201cwatch, not chase.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=brk-b&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"bxmt--income-f-not-a-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">BXMT \u2013 income F, not a Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Nothing has changed the basic profile: high yield (near 10%), commercial real\u2011estate credit risk, and tight coverage that depends on spreads staying friendly and credit not cracking. Rate vol and CRE headlines keep it fragile.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Book\/value gap exists, but here it\u2019s as much \u201ccredit risk premium\u201d as opportunity.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d<\/strong>. This is an <strong>F at best<\/strong>: a tactical income trade when you like the macro\/credit setup, not a core Marry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your \u201conly below ~$17.50 with improving coverage\u201d trigger is still the right discipline.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=bxmt%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cake--great-operator-but-now-richly-valued\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CAKE \u2013 great operator, but now richly valued<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Since your write\u2011up, the story is still operationally excellent: strong comps, unit economics, and brand portfolio. The problem is the stock already re\u2011rated hard and trades at or above most realistic target ranges, with cyclical and cost risk still present.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"SailPoint raises outlook after beating Q3 revenue forecasts, but shares dip\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/in.investing.com\/news\/earnings\/sailpoint-raises-annual-outlook-after-lifting-q3-revenues-but-shares-dip-5144497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">investing<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">You\u2019re no longer getting paid for the execution risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Stay \u201cStill Watching,\u201d closer to Kill than Marry at current levels.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat CAKE as a <strong>trade on pullbacks<\/strong> only; if it ever revisits the low\u2011$40s on a consumer scare while ops remain intact, it can move back toward \u201cReady to Accumulate.\u201d Up here, it\u2019s a pass for new money.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=cake%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"calm--still-a-marryondips-standout\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CALM \u2013 still a Marry\u2011on\u2011dips standout<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">CALM continues to look like exactly what you described: debt\u2011free, dominant, adding mix toward higher\u2011margin specialty eggs, with a variable dividend that spits out serious cash in good years. Recent normalization in egg pricing hasn\u2019t broken the thesis.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Stock Price, Market Cap, Segmented Revenue ...\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.archivemarketresearch.com\/companies\/SAIL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">archivemarketresearch<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Forward multiple is still low single\u2011digits to high single\u2011digits depending on where you peg mid\u2011cycle earnings.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d stands; this is a clear Marry candidate.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">You can keep leaning in around current levels and especially on any move back under ~$100 in a commodity scare, so long as balance sheet and specialty mix trends stay intact.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=calm&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ceg--aipower-poster-child-but-valuation-now-bakes\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CEG \u2013 AI\u2011power poster child, but valuation now bakes in a lot of that story<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Constellation has become the market\u2019s favorite \u201cAI baseload\u201d story: the largest nuclear fleet in the US, a big beneficiary of data\u2011center power deals, and perceived as a clean, inelastic power provider to hyperscalers. The stock has more than doubled over the last year and now trades in the mid\u2011$350s\u2013360s with a P\/E around 40 and an indicated yield under 0.5%. Analysts still see upside (targets clustering in the high\u2011$300s to high\u2011$400s), but even bullish fundamental takes now highlight stretched valuation, margin pressure, and uneven cash flow, with some research calling out downside risk from these levels.\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">In other words: the\u00a0<strong>narrative is perfect, the numbers are good, and the multiple is demanding<\/strong>. AI\u2011power demand is real, but power contracting, regulation, and nuclear capex are messy; this is not a smooth SaaS story. ROIC vs. cost of capital is still a work in progress.\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket:\u00a0<strong>Still \u201cF leaning toward future Marry,\u201d but not at today\u2019s price.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep CEG on the list as a\u00a0<strong>prime candidate to buy on a big sentiment reversal<\/strong>\u2014for example, a pullback into the high\u2011$200s\/low\u2011$300s where P\/E and yield look more reasonable and AI\u2011power PPAs are still being signed.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At current ~40x earnings and sub\u20110.5% yield, it\u2019s an\u00a0<strong>avoid for new money<\/strong>\u00a0unless you\u2019re specifically trading momentum.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=ceg&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cim--highyield-highbeta-deep-discount-for-a-reason\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CIM \u2013 high\u2011yield, high\u2011beta, deep discount for a reason<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">CIM is still the same animal: big discount to book, double\u2011digit yield, but coverage that\u2019s a bit light and very sensitive to funding costs and spread moves. Residential credit and rate vol remain meaningful risks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Trading at a fraction of book is attractive on paper, but this is a levered rate\/credit call.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d<\/strong> and bucket it with BXMT: <strong>F, not Marry<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your \u201caccumulate only closer to $12.5\u201313 with better coverage\u201d trigger remains a good sanity check; above that, the risk\/reward isn\u2019t compelling enough given leverage and macro uncertainty.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=cim%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cat--just-picked-now-an-active-core\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CAT \u2013 just picked, now an active core<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">You\u2019ve already moved CAT from \u201cplaceholder if it ever gets cheap\u201d to an active pick this morning (Dec 9, 2025), keying off value + industrial\/tariff tailwinds.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">With tariffs entrenched and US\/ally infrastructure and mining spend elevated, CAT fits the \u201cvalue + real economy\u201d lane you want, even if it isn\u2019t numerically \u201ccheap\u201d on headline P\/E.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat CAT as a <strong>Marry\u2011type core industrial<\/strong> you scale into on dips; no longer just a placeholder.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">For the watch list, mark it <strong>Active Position \/ Buy on pullbacks<\/strong>, not a mere \u201cif it ever gets cheap again.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cat&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"clf--leveraged-political-steel-f-not-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CLF \u2013 leveraged, political steel; F, not Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">CLF is still a US\u2011tariff and reshoring story: highly sensitive to domestic auto\/manufacturing, steel tariffs, and Goncalves\u2019 capital\/PR choices. The 50% tariffs and import share drop you noted remain the main structural bull point.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">But earnings are still lumpy, balance sheet and labor headlines noisy, and they\u2019ve backed away from some cleaner\u2011tech steel ideas, which keeps regulatory and ESG risk in play.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d<\/strong>, squarely in the <strong>F (fling) \/ trade<\/strong> bucket.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulation only makes sense <strong>near or below your $8.5\u20139 zone<\/strong>, or on a clear profit\/FCF upturn with the stock still under\u2011owned. Above that, you\u2019re mostly long politics and cyclical beta.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=clf%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cmbt--very-highyield-shipping-income-f-only\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CMBT \u2013 very high\u2011yield shipping; income F only<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The basic setup hasn\u2019t changed: tanker\/FSO operator, low\u2011single\u2011digit EV\/EBITDA, ~4\u00d7 forward P\/E and eye\u2011watering headline yield, all sitting on top of cyclical rates, regulations and geopolitical risk.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Dividends are big but volatile; you\u2019re effectively selling liquidity into a niche shipping cycle.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Stay \u201cIncome Watch Only.\u201d<\/strong> This is an <strong>aggressive F<\/strong>, not a Marry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>&lt;~$8.5\u20138.75<\/strong> entry line remains a sane way to demand a fat margin of safety; no reason to chase higher given the complexity and volatility.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cmbt&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cmcsa--still-a-clear-ready-to-accumulate-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CMCSA \u2013 still a clear \u201c<em>Ready to Accumulate<\/em>\u201d Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Comcast\u2019s diversified machine (broadband, mobile, content, parks) plus strong FCF and buybacks\/dividends is exactly the kind of value + cash\u2011gusher you want in a tariff\/4%\u2011plus\u201110\u2011year world.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The market is still paying a single\u2011digit P\/E for that mix because it hates legacy cable headlines, even as streaming burns less and wireless grows.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d stands; this is a Marry candidate.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep leaning in around these depressed multiples; any fresh panic that pushes it lower just improves the entry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cmcsa&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cnh--solid-plan-but-cycle-says-wait\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CNH \u2013 solid plan, but cycle says wait<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">CNH\u2019s new plan (margin targets, precision tech, product refresh) is credible, balance sheet and capital returns are good, but the ag and construction cycle is still heading down into 2025 with management guiding to double\u2011digit sales declines.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">You\u2019re being paid a modest dividend and a fair P\/E to wait, but not a screaming bargain yet.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d<\/strong> \u2013 this is <strong>more Marry\u2011candidate than Kill<\/strong>, but only once the cycle turns or the price compensates you more for the slump.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulation should be tied either to <strong>clearer early\u2011cycle signs<\/strong> (orders\/margins stabilizing) or to another leg down that lets you buy below today\u2019s ~10x forward on distressed sentiment.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cnh&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cnx--solid-gas--lng-optionality-marry-on-the-right\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CNX \u2013 solid gas + LNG optionality; Marry on the right price<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Thesis (Appalachian gas, low costs, ESG\u2011friendlier e\u2011frac, LNG export leverage) still fits your \u201creal asset + policy tailwind\u201d lane. CNX is essentially a torque play on US gas prices and export build\u2011out, with an improving balance sheet and shareholder\u2011return bias.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/government-bond-yield\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">tradingeconomics<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Risk is the usual gas cycle plus basis and pipeline politics; nothing new has broken the story, but you don\u2019t want to overpay for a commodity name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep **\u201cStill Watching,\u201d leaning toward a <strong>Marry\u2011candidate<\/strong> at the right entry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>$26\u201328 pullback<\/strong> zone is still a good scale\u2011in area; closer to low\u2011$20s would be a gift in a gas swoon.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cnx&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"coin--pure-f--trade-not-a-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">COIN \u2013 pure F \/ trade, not a Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Core dynamic hasn\u2019t changed: structurally important US crypto gatekeeper, but earnings and margins are highly pro\u2011cyclical with trading volumes, and Q2\u2019s \u201cGAAP good, core soft\u201d split is exactly what you don\u2019t Marry at $300+.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bitget.com\/news\/detail\/12560605082323\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">bitget<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Upside is regulatory clarity + volume + S&amp;P inclusion; downside is any combo of dull volumes, policy whiplash, or a crypto risk\u2011off.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Stay \u201cStill Watching,\u201d firmly in the F bucket.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">As a trade, only get interested <strong>back in the $280\u2013300 zone with improving volume\/flows<\/strong>, or after a real washout; as a Marry, it doesn\u2019t qualify.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=coin&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"crox--good-brand-real-tariff-hair-f-with-strict-bu\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CROX \u2013 good brand, real tariff hair; F with strict buy\u2011zone<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Crocs is executing (revenue, margins, brand, DTC) but has real tariff\/supply\u2011chain and fashion\u2011cycle risk. The sourcing shift away from China helps but doesn\u2019t eliminate policy volatility or margin pressure.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~$90\u2013100 you\u2019re paying a fair multiple for a very cyclical, tariff\u2011exposed consumer name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cStill Watching,\u201d F not Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>low\u2011to\u2011mid\u2011$80s<\/strong> buy\u2011zone remains the only place it makes sense to lean in; otherwise, treat it as a tactical trade when tariffs\/fashion panic overshoots.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=crox%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"crsp--speculative-marrycandidate-right-bucket-righ\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CRSP \u2013 speculative Marry\u2011candidate; right bucket, right tone<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Casgevy approvals + early launch + big cash runway + meaningful pipeline = real optionality; valuation vs. cash and book is not crazy for this kind of platform biotech.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.supplychaindive.com\/news\/usgs-releases-2025-list-of-us-essential-minerals\/805364\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">supplychaindive<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This is still inherently volatile, binary\u2011ish science and commercialization risk; the \u201cbe ready for swings\u201d caveat is key.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d remains appropriate<\/strong>, for investors who accept biotech risk. This is a <strong>high\u2011beta Marry<\/strong>, not an F.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">No need to change the stance: scale in on weakness, size small, be patient.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=crsp%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"csco--already-in-ltp-no-longer-just-placeholder\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CSCO \u2013 already in LTP, no longer just placeholder<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Cisco is now live in the Long\u2011Term Portfolio, so for the watch\u2011list exercise it effectively \u201cgraduates.\u201d It\u2019s your conservative, cash\u2011rich infra and networking anchor.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Mark CSCO as <strong>Active Position \/ core value holding<\/strong>, not a watch\u2011only name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">New watch\u2011list work can focus on complements around it rather than re\u2011underwriting Cisco itself.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=csco&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"cvs--still-ready-to-accumulate-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">CVS \u2013 still \u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The integrated model plus cost\u2011cutting, store rationalization, and exit from weaker ACA business still support the EPS\/margin\u2011improvement story, with a 4%+ dividend and reasonable multiple on $6+ EPS.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-december-9-2025-11864888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">investopedia<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Policy noise and medical\u2011cost ratio risk remain, but CVS has scale, diversified cash flows, and a clear self\u2011help path.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/strong>; this is a <strong>Marry\u2011type<\/strong> name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your existing stance is fine: happy owning here, and even happier if a macro scare lets you in closer to mid\u2011$50s while the turnaround remains on track.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=cvs&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"dal--cyclical-f-not-a-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">DAL \u2013 cyclical F, not a Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Delta execution is solid (EPS, FCF, premium + loyalty, AI\u2011driven RM), but it\u2019s still an airline: macro\u2011sensitive, capex\u2011heavy, with tariff\/IT\/regulatory overhangs and demand risk.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/wall-st-futures-flat-fed-decision-looms-nvidia-gains-2025-12-09\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">reuters<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The US\u2013EU aviation carve\u2011out helps, but you\u2019re paid for volatility, not stability.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d stays right; DAL is an F\/trade, not a Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>$40\u201342<\/strong> zone is the only place it makes sense to accumulate; above that, treat it as a trading vehicle around demand and fuel swings.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=dal&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"dec--quirky-highyield-gas-income-f-only\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">DEC \u2013 quirky high\u2011yield gas, income F only<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Diversified\u2019s late\u2011life wells + heavy hedging + ABS structure make it closer to a securitized cashflow vehicle than a classic E&amp;P; yield is big but complexity and ESG\/regulatory risk are real.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accounting noise vs. distributable cash remains the key thing to monitor.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d<\/strong>; this is an <strong>aggressive F<\/strong>, not a Marry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>&lt;~$13.50<\/strong> trigger is a good way to demand compensation for structural\/ESG and complexity risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=dec&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"dg--value--tariffwinner-marry-on-pullbacks\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">DG \u2013 value + tariff\u2011winner, Marry on pullbacks<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Dollar General is exactly where you want to be for \u201ctariffs + stressed consumer\u201d: traffic, remodel programs, delivery, and operational fixes are working, but it\u2019s still in a messy part of the cycle.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Valuation around $100\u2013110 is reasonable, not washed\u2011out, and execution is improving.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d with a bullish bias; this is a potential Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulation in your <strong>$100\u2013105<\/strong> zone is sensible; below $100 it starts to look like a clear value + defensive consumer core holding.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=dg&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"dis--strong-turnaround-but-now-closer-to-f-or-smal\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">DIS \u2013 strong turnaround, but now closer to \u201cF or small Marry,\u201d not table\u2011pounding<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Streaming profitable, parks and studios humming, dividend and buybacks back \u2013 the operational thesis is clearly working, and the street is again bullish with targets ahead of current price.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-12-09\/s-p-500-wavers-as-traders-stay-on-sidelines-ahead-of-fed-oracle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">bloomberg<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">But after a 30%+ run toward 52\u2011week highs, a lot of that good news is now in the price; you\u2019re no longer getting paid for legacy linear risk, content cost, or macro shocks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate,\u201d but with discipline<\/strong>: this is a <strong>Marry in moderation<\/strong>, not a must\u2011chase.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">New entries make the most sense on pullbacks back toward the low\u2011$100s; up here, lean smaller and be willing to trade around a core rather than loading up at cycle\u2011high sentiment.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=dis%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"duk--slower-regulated-way-to-play-the-same-theme-u\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">DUK \u2013 slower, regulated way to play the same theme; utility Marry on dips, not an AI rocket<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Duke sits in attractive geographies for data\u2011center growth (Carolinas, Southeast), so it will benefit from grid upgrades and incremental load from AI over time, but it\u2019s still a\u00a0<strong>traditional regulated utility first and foremost<\/strong>. Recent filings show modest EPS growth targets, heavy capex for transmission\/distribution and generation upgrades, and strong regulatory constructs in key states. The yield is typically in the mid\u20113s to low\u20114% range, and forward P\/E is usually mid\u2011teens\u2014\u201cclassic utility\u201d territory rather than an AI\u2011hype multiple.\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">That makes DUK fundamentally different from CEG: less AI torque, but more stable, better yield, and a valuation that doesn\u2019t assume everything goes perfectly. It\u2019s more likely to behave like a normal utility with a mild structural tailwind from load growth, rather than an AI\u2011levered growth stock.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket:\u00a0<strong>Marry\u2011candidate in the regulated utility bucket<\/strong>, with AI\/grid upgrades as a\u00a0<strong>bonus tailwind<\/strong>, not the core reason to own it.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep DUK as a\u00a0<strong>buy\u2011on\u2011pullbacks<\/strong>\u00a0name: look to add when utility sentiment is weak (rates spike, sector sell\u2011off) and the yield pushes toward the high\u20114% range while capex and regulatory relationships remain intact.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Do not frame it as an AI rocket; frame it as\u00a0<strong>\u201csolid utility that will quietly benefit from AI\u2011driven load.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=duk&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ens--solid-industrial-with-energytransition-kicker\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">ENS \u2013 solid industrial with energy\u2011transition kicker; Marry on dips<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">EnerSys is executing: decent EPS beats, early benefits from credits, restructuring underway, and a funded Li\u2011ion gigafactory that gives it real grid\/renewables optionality.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chartmill.com\/stock\/quote\/PPG\/fundamental-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">chartmill<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Balance sheet is OK, valuation around ~10x earnings is reasonable, and upside to analyst fair value exists if margin work sticks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Keep \u201cStill Watching,\u201d leaning clearly toward Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>low\u2011$80s<\/strong> buy zone remains the right place to get serious; a pullback plus confirmation that restructuring is working would make ENS a very attractive core industrial\/energy\u2011storage name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=ens&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"epd--textbook-marry-income-core\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">EPD \u2013 textbook Marry, income core<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Enterprise keeps doing what it should: record volumes, 1.6\u20131.7x coverage, 25+ years of distribution growth, conservative leverage, and a real project backlog tied to Permian\/NGL exports.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/autos-transportation\/us-minerals-projects-seek-more-support-washington-compete-with-china-2025-12-04\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">reuters<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~7% yield and ~10x forward earnings for this quality of midstream, you\u2019re still being paid very well for modest growth.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d stands; this is a clear Marry\/income core.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep adding on weakness; there\u2019s no need to be too cute on pennies when you\u2019re being paid a high, well\u2011covered distribution with visible project\u2011driven growth.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=epd&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"es--quality-utility-but-more-of-a-buy-the-dip-marr\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">ES \u2013 quality utility, but more of a \u201cbuy the dip\u201d Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Eversource has cleaned up its story (exiting offshore wind, focusing on T&amp;D and grid modernization) and laid out a big capex plan with supportive regulation and 5\u20137% EPS growth targets.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.energy.gov\/articles\/energy-department-announces-actions-secure-american-critical-minerals-and-materials-supply\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">energy<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Yield ~4\u20135% and ~16x forward P\/E are fair, not distressed; you\u2019re basically paying standard regulated\u2011utility pricing for a decent growth runway.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Stay \u201cStill Watching,\u201d with ES as a potential Marry on a better entry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulate only on <strong>meaningful pullbacks<\/strong> (rate spikes, utility scares) that push yield up and P\/E down; otherwise, it\u2019s a hold\/watch rather than urgent buy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=es&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"et--strong-income-but-keep-it-as-income-f-not-core\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">ET \u2013 strong income, but keep it as income F, not core Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Energy Transfer still offers a fat ~7%+ yield, decent coverage, and a big, diversified midstream footprint, but carries more balance\u2011sheet, governance, and project\u2011headline risk than EPD\u2011type names.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/thedeepdive.ca\/us-more-stakes-critical-minerals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">thedeepdive<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Valuation is reasonable, analysts see upside, but you are clearly paid to accept higher risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d remains right; this is an F\u2011style income trade, not a primary Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>sub\u2011$17<\/strong> buy trigger is a solid discipline: demand extra yield and some price discount for the extra risk vs. higher\u2011quality midstream peers.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=et&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"evrg--solid-utility-marry-only-on-pullbacks\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">EVRG \u2013 solid utility, Marry only on pullbacks<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Demand from data centers plus a bigger capex plan support 6\u20138% EPS growth and a ~4% yield, with supportive regulators.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~17x forward earnings and after a good run, near\u2011term upside is limited.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, a <strong>potential Marry on dips<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulate only on meaningful pullbacks that push the yield higher (e.g., rate\u2011scare\/utility selloff), not at a full \u201cdata\u2011center utility\u201d multiple.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=evrg&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"exe--big-gas--lng-lever-f-or-small-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">EXE \u2013 big gas \/ LNG lever, F or small Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Expand Energy is the scale gas producer you wanted: Appalachia + Haynesville, with direct benefit from LNG build\u2011out and AI\/data\u2011center\u2011driven power demand.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">You\u2019re long gas + policy; earnings leverage is high, but so is commodity\/basis risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, leaning <strong>Marry\u2011candidate for your gas\/LNG bucket<\/strong>, but size it more like an F\/trade until they earn a longer track record post\u2011merger.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>sub\u2011$98\u2013100 pullback<\/strong> or <strong>clean breakout above $110 on strong fundamentals<\/strong> are the right triggers.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=exe&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"f--income-f-only-not-core\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">F \u2013 income F only, not core<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Ford still has legacy scale and yield, but tariffs and EV losses keep the payout strained (~75% of FCF on your numbers) and guidance downshifted; liquidity is fine, but you\u2019re not being overpaid for the macro\/policy risk.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Blue and Pro help, Model e bleeds.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Remain \u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d<\/strong>, clearly an <strong>F, not a Marry<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Accumulation only makes sense <strong>$9\u201310 or lower<\/strong> with FCF intact and no imminent dividend cut; otherwise it\u2019s a trading and covered\u2011call vehicle, not a cornerstone.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=f%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"fcx--copper-flagship-marry-on-the-right-price\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">FCX \u2013 copper flagship, Marry on the right price<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Fundamentals (costs, balance sheet, assets) and secular copper story (electrification, infrastructure, energy transition) are intact; the recent tariff twist just highlighted policy noise and price volatility.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~11x forward and mid\u2011single\u2011digit EV\/EBITDA, it\u2019s modestly cheap but still very copper\u2011beta.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, but clearly a <strong>Marry\u2011candidate in your metals bucket<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>mid\u2011$30s<\/strong> buy zone is the place to lean in; above $40 it\u2019s more of a hold\/trade unless copper pulls back and you still love the long\u2011term demand story.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=fcx&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"fitb--solid-regional-marry-on-dips\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">FITB \u2013 solid regional, Marry on dips<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Fifth Third has good capital, decent NIM, fee diversification, and solid credit, with a mid\u20113% yield and single\u2011digit to low\u2011teens P\/E at a discount to book.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">It\u2019s a high\u2011quality regional bank, but still rate\u2011cycle and credit\u2011cycle exposed.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, leaning <strong>Marry on pullbacks<\/strong> for your financials sleeve.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Wait for a proper bank scare or rate\u2011vol episode to buy below current levels (deeper discount to book, higher yield); until then, it\u2019s \u201cready if we get a fat pitch,\u201d not urgent to add.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=fitb&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ff--deepvalue-spec-closer-to-kill-than-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">FF \u2013 deep\u2011value spec, closer to Kill than Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Small biofuel\/chemicals name, negative EPS, thin liquidity, bearish technicals, and no clear near\u2011term catalyst, despite sector tailwinds and a history of special dividends.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.archivemarketresearch.com\/companies\/SAIL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">archivemarketresearch<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Balance sheet and occasional capital returns are positives, but execution and profitability have lagged.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, but this is <strong>speculative F at best, close to Kill.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Only worth a tiny position if\/when you see a clear return to consistent profitability or a sector\u2011wide biofuel catalyst; otherwise keep it in the long\u2011shot bucket, not on the main shopping list.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=ff%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"fmc--clear-turnaroundvalue-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">FMC \u2013 clear turnaround\/value Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Core ag\u2011chem business is under pressure (patents, channel inventory, pricing), but debt is down, GSS is sold, dividend is big (~5%+), and management still guides to a second\u2011half\/2026 recovery as inventories normalize and new products ramp.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chartmill.com\/stock\/quote\/PPG\/fundamental-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">chartmill<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Valuation is compressed vs. history, and balance sheet flexibility has improved.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d stands; this is a high\u2011conviction value Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep leaning in at depressed levels, accepting volatility as the ag cycle and channel clean\u2011up play out.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=fmc&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"geo--pure-political-f-not-marry\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">GEO \u2013 pure political F, not Marry<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Heavily levered to Trump\u2011era immigration and detention policy; big revenue upside from EO\u2011driven ICE contracts, but massive regulatory\/legal\/reputational risk and earnings volatility.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/trump-administration-weighing-fannie-freddie-offering-soon-end-2025-fhfa-2025-10-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">reuters<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Returns are tied to a single political regime and policy stance.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, strictly as a <strong>high\u2011beta F \/ political cycle trade<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Entry only makes sense <strong>in low\u2011$20s with policy momentum clearly intact<\/strong>, and sized as \u201coption\u2011like,\u201d not as a core holding.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=geo&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"gild--bluechip-healthcare-marry-on-pullbacks\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">GILD \u2013 blue\u2011chip healthcare, Marry on pullbacks<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">HIV franchise and oncology (Trodelvy, CAR\u2011T) are growing, base business is expanding, dividend is rising, and pipeline has real catalysts (e.g., lenacapavir).<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fa-mag.com\/news\/famed-bear-michael-burry-says-he-s-bullish-on-fannie-and-freddie-85143.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">fa-mag<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At ~$110+ and mid\u2011teens forward P\/E, near\u2011term upside exists but isn\u2019t huge after the recent run.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, clearly a <strong>Marry\u2011candidate<\/strong> on better entry.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Look to accumulate on meaningful pullbacks (e.g., back toward low\u2011$100s or below) or on pipeline\/news\u2011driven dips; not urgent to chase at year\u2011highs.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=gild%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"gis--income-f--bond-proxy-not-growth\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">GIS \u2013 income F \/ bond proxy, not growth<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Classic staples name: volume softness, flat sales, EPS expected down double\u2011digits, but a nearly 5% yield with a long, reliable dividend history and manageable payout.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/swot-analysis\/ppgs-swot-analysis-paint-giants-stock-faces-mixed-outlook-amid-strategic-shift-93CH-4218275\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">investing<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">This is effectively a bond proxy with modest brand\/price power.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Update:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>\u201cIncome Watch Only\u201d stands; GIS is an F\u2011style income holding, not a Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>$45\u201347<\/strong> buy\u2011zone is sensible: demand a bit more yield and a little more pessimism before adding; otherwise, it\u2019s a steady but unexciting coupon clipper.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=gis&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"gnrc--turnaround-with-real-secular-tailwinds-but-p\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">GNRC \u2013 turnaround with real secular tailwinds, but price demands patience<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Generac has clearly executed on a turn: Q2 revenue grew ~6% to about $1.06B, adjusted EPS rose 22% to $1.65, and gross margin expanded to roughly 39% with EBITDA margin approaching 18%. Guidance for the year was raised on margins and free cash flow (&gt;$400M), which tells you this is not a mere cost\u2011cut; it\u2019s a real improvement in mix and pricing. Residential standby demand has normalized from the peak but remains healthy, and the newer energy\u2011tech businesses (ecobee, storage) are gaining traction. The new commercial\/data\u2011center generator pipeline\u2014with over $150M already in backlog\u2014adds another secular leg tied to AI\/data\u2011center power needs. [attached_text:GNRC]<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The problem is not the story; it\u2019s timing and entry. The stock ripped on the earnings beat and technical breakout, with Relative Strength in the low\u201190s and a classic cup\u2011with\u2011handle breakout leading to a 20%+ move. That leaves it trading above the prior buy zones and near the upper end of its recent valuation band, in a macro tape where 10\u2011year yields are flirting with 4.2%. Chasing here means you\u2019re paying a full multiple for a cyclical, weather\u2011sensitive, and still\u2011levered name just as everyone else has rediscovered it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>F\/Marry hybrid<\/strong> \u2013 a genuine turnaround\/compounder candidate, but too volatile and cyclic to be a \u201cset and forget\u201d at any price.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Keep <strong>\u201cStill Watching with Caution.\u201d<\/strong> A pullback into roughly the <strong>$175\u2013180<\/strong> area\u2014where the breakout base and key moving averages converge\u2014would be a far better risk\/reward entry. Above that, it\u2019s more of a trading vehicle than a fresh core position.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=gnrc%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"googl--ai--cloud--ads-engine-a-core-marry-on-the-r\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">GOOGL \u2013 AI + Cloud + Ads engine, a core Marry on the right price<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Alphabet\u2019s Q2 2025 print showed why it remains one of the cleanest large\u2011cap growth stories: total revenue up 14% to ~$96B, EPS beating expectations, and operating margins still north of 30%. Google Services (Search, YouTube, subscriptions\/devices) posted solid double\u2011digit growth, while Cloud surged ~32% with operating margins above 20%, marking a clear transition from \u201closs leader\u201d to profit center. That combination of scale, diversified revenue, and improving Cloud profitability is precisely what you want in an AI\u2011heavy capex cycle. [attached_text:GOOGL]<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The two main sources of market anxiety are (1) capex and (2) regulation. Capex is running at a massive annualized ~$85B as Alphabet builds out AI and data\u2011center infrastructure, which is temporarily pressuring reported free cash flow. At the same time, ongoing DOJ antitrust cases and potential remedies around search distribution keep a \u201cheadline risk\u201d discount in the stock. Even so, trailing 12\u2011month FCF remains huge (~$60B+), the balance sheet is fortress\u2011like, and most analysts maintain Buy ratings with targets modestly above current levels.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/aapl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">stockanalysis<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>Clear Marry\u2011candidate<\/strong> in your \u201cAI + infra\u201d bucket. This isn\u2019t a name you need to trade around heavily; it\u2019s one you want to own through cycles at sensible valuations.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Your prior <strong>$185\u2013190<\/strong> accumulation zone is exactly the kind of discipline you want to keep. In that band, you\u2019re getting a dominant AI\/Cloud\/ads platform at a discount to consensus fair value, with macro and regulatory fear already reflected. Above the low\u2011$200s, new adds should be smaller and more opportunistic, ideally keyed to specific catalysts (e.g., favorable regulatory outcomes, sustained Cloud margin expansion) rather than simple momentum.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=goog&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"hon--highquality-industrial-but-let-the-spinnoise\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">HON \u2013 high\u2011quality industrial, but let the spin\/noise give you a better entry<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Honeywell is executing like a textbook blue\u2011chip industrial. High\u2011single\u2011digit revenue growth (~8% YoY), EPS beats, and a record backlog north of $35B all support its raised full\u2011year EPS guidance (~$10.2\u201310.5). Growth is broad\u2011based: Building Automation and Energy Solutions enjoy secular tailwinds from efficiency and electrification, and Aerospace benefits from commercial recovery and defense demand. [attached_text:HON]<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The portfolio work is important. Spinning off Advanced Materials to refocus on automation, aviation, and energy\u2011transition themes should unlock a cleaner multiple and capital allocation story. On top of that, Honeywell is pushing into digital infrastructure and energy transition solutions while returning substantial cash via buybacks and dividends. At around 21x forward earnings and a ~2% yield, the stock is \u201cquality at a fair price,\u201d not a deep value. It trades comfortably above key moving averages, reflecting that investors already recognize the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>Marry\u2011candidate<\/strong> \u2013 durable compounder with exposure to multiple megatrends and a strong balance sheet.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: <strong>Still Watching<\/strong> for a better entry. The most attractive windows are likely to come from either (a) broad industrial risk\u2011off moves that hit everything with a multiple, or (b) temporary noise around the spin\u2014e.g., if there\u2019s mechanical selling or knee\u2011jerk concern over the \u201cex\u2011spin\u201d profile. A pullback that brings the forward P\/E down into the high\u2011teens while fundamentals remain intact would justify turning this into a core position.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=hon%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ibm--transformed-cashmachine-in-aihybrid-cloud-but\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">IBM \u2013 transformed cash\u2011machine in AI\/hybrid cloud, but near-term froth<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">IBM\u2019s multi\u2011year transformation away from legacy hardware\/services into hybrid cloud and AI is finally showing up in the numbers: double\u2011digit software growth (with Red Hat mid\u2011teens), solid consulting demand around AI, and record free cash flow (~$12.7B last year, guided even higher). The growing Watsonx platform and a $3B+ AI consulting pipeline indicate IBM is successfully monetizing the \u201cbig boring enterprise\u201d side of AI, helping large organizations embed generative models into existing workflows. [attached_text:IBM]<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The upcoming z17 mainframe launch\u2014with integrated AI acceleration\u2014is another powerful proof point, reinforcing IBM\u2019s unique position in mission\u2011critical workloads. Strategic partnerships (NVIDIA, AMD, etc.) keep IBM plugged into chip\u2011level innovation without having to bear the full R&amp;D risk. The caveat is valuation and timing: after a strong rally, trailing P\/E looks inflated; forward P\/E in the low\u201120s is more palatable but still assumes continued execution. The stock is extended above key moving averages and consolidating, which is healthy but suggests the easy re\u2011rating phase may be behind you in the near term.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/dafinchi.ai\/feed\/ftv-2025-q2-financial-performance-summary?scrollTo=related-insights\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">dafinchi<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>Marry\u2011candidate<\/strong> in your \u201centerprise AI + infra\u201d sleeve, but with the understanding that it\u2019s a lower\u2011beta, cash\u2011flow story rather than a hyper\u2011growth name.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: <strong>Still Watching.<\/strong> A better entry would be on a meaningful pullback\u2014either from macro tech risk\u2011off or \u201csell the news\u201d after z17\/AI events\u2014bringing the forward P\/E back toward the high\u2011teens. Until then, new positions should be modest and sized as \u201cnibble into quality\u201d rather than a full build.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=ibm&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"imax--highbeta-contentbox-office-lever-a-growth-f\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">IMAX \u2013 high\u2011beta content\/box-office lever; a growth F, not an all-weather Marry<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">IMAX is doing almost everything right operationally: record or near\u2011record global box office, particularly strong in China and other international markets; a healthy slate of Hollywood + local\u2011language blockbusters; and an ambitious but disciplined pace of new system installs. Net income has rebounded strongly, with one recent year\u2011over\u2011year quarter doubling profits, and management is guiding to mid\u2011teens box\u2011office growth and up to 100 new installs in 2025. The capital\u2011light nature of the business (revenue tied to box\u2011office splits and servicing a global installed base) gives it outsized earnings leverage to hit films and theatrical cycles. [attached_text:IMAX]<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The flip side is exactly that leverage. At current levels, IMAX trades at a forward multiple that assumes continued blockbuster performance and high utilization across geographies. After a sharp rally to the high end of its range and a forward P\/E in the 20s (depending on how you normalize earnings), you\u2019re paying for optimism about both content and macro: a weaker slate, a streaming relapse, or a slowdown in China\/EM could hit both box office and system signings. The active buyback helps, but doesn\u2019t eliminate that cyclical risk.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Stock Price, Market Cap, Segmented Revenue ...\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.archivemarketresearch.com\/companies\/SAIL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">archivemarketresearch<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>F\/trade, not a core Marry.<\/strong> It\u2019s an elegant way to express a bullish view on theatrical content cycles and China\/international box office, but not something to anchor a portfolio around.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: <strong>Still Watching<\/strong>, with a bias to only get involved <strong>on meaningful pullbacks<\/strong>\u2014for example, if a temporary content lull or macro scare takes the stock back toward mid\u2011teens P\/E on mid\u2011cycle earnings while the long\u2011term install pipeline and global box\u2011office trends remain intact. At current 52\u2011week\u2011high territory, the asymmetry works against you for new buys.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=imax%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"intc--distressed-deep-value-with-real-but-slowburn\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">INTC \u2013 distressed deep value with real but slow\u2011burn turnaround optionality<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Intel has clearly moved from \u201cbig cap laggard\u201d into genuine turnaround territory. Revenue has stabilized around the mid\u2011teens billions per quarter, but the company is still printing net losses as it absorbs nearly $2B in restructuring charges tied to canceling uneconomic fab plans and cutting roughly 15% of its workforce. Pausing big European fab builds and refocusing capex on core x86, AI\u2011adjacent client products, and a more disciplined foundry offering is painful, but it\u2019s exactly what needed to happen after years of over\u2011promise\/under\u2011deliver on the \u201cworld\u2019s foundry\u201d vision. The foundry unit\u2019s low\u2011single\u2011digit revenue growth and ongoing losses highlight how early this business still is, even as management talks up external AI\u2011chip customers and a back\u2011to\u2011basics focus (including reinstating Hyper\u2011Threading) in CPUs.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/INTC\/history\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">finance.yahoo<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The good news is that markets have already repriced a lot of that pain: from the August ~$19 trough, INTC has more than doubled into the low\u2011$40s recently, as investors reward tangible cost\u2011cutting and the prospect of a leaner, more focused Intel. On many forward metrics, it still screens \u201ccheap\u201d relative to its own history and to high\u2011flying semi peers, but the stock is no longer at bombed\u2011out single\u2011digit forward P\/E levels; it\u2019s been bid back up on the turnaround narrative. That means new buyers are now paying for at least some execution actually happening rather than just optionality.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.intc.com\/stock-info\/historical-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">intc<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>Cautiously \u201cStill Watching\u201d deep value, closer to F\/Marry hybrid than pure F.<\/strong> This can become a Marry in your \u201cturnaround\/value tech\u201d sleeve if the new plan proves itself, but you don\u2019t need to rush after a big bounce.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Your original <strong>$17\u201318 \u201cfat pitch\u201d zone<\/strong> was perfect for distressed buying; at current low\u2011$40s levels the easy money is gone. For new adds, think in terms of:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Waiting for a <strong>disappointment\/market pullback<\/strong> that lets you in at a material discount to today\u2019s price with the plan still intact, or<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Waiting for <strong>evidence of margin\/FCF stabilization<\/strong> and a clear path to foundry breakeven before upgrading it to a true Marry.<br \/>\nIn other words: keep it on the list as a <strong>speculative value project<\/strong>, but don\u2019t chase a post\u2011re\u2011rating chart.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=intc&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ip--solid-cashreturning-packaging-leader-but-integ\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">IP \u2013 solid, cash\u2011returning packaging leader, but integration and cycle risk argue for patience<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">International Paper today is a different animal than the one you first watched: the DS Smith acquisition has turned it into an even larger global packaging player, with roughly a third of the North American corrugated market and a bigger European footprint. Synergy targets (mid\u2011hundreds of millions of dollars over several years) give a clear self\u2011help path, and the core Industrial Packaging segment continues to generate decent margins even in a sluggish demand environment. Dividend policy remains shareholder\u2011friendly, with a yield in the 4\u20135% range and coverage supported by positive, if uneven, free cash flow.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/stockanalysis.com\/stocks\/ip\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">stockanalysis<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The catch is valuation versus risk. Around the high\u2011$30s to low\u2011$40s currently, IP trades at a forward P\/E in the low\u201120s on some estimates and a price\/sales under 1x, reflecting both cyclicality and recent profit volatility. The market has already given the stock a solid re\u2011rating off its lows as investors priced in the DS Smith deal and early synergy hopes; at the same time, a mixed macro for packaging (industrial and consumer demand, freight, input costs) and the integration risk around a big acquisition put a ceiling on how much further investors will pay up without clearer acceleration in earnings.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/ip\/quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">morningstar<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d income\/value industrial, not yet a full Marry.<\/strong> It\u2019s a credible candidate for your dividend + cyclicals sleeve, but you want either a better price or cleaner post\u2011deal numbers.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Let it <strong>earn its multiple<\/strong>. An attractive setup would be:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">A <strong>pullback toward mid\u2011$30s<\/strong> on a sector or macro scare while synergy progress and packaging demand are intact, or<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">A clear inflection in margins\/FCF after integration, with the stock not already at the high end of analyst target ranges.<br \/>\nUntil then, existing holders can clip the dividend; new money should stay patient.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=ip%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ivz--higherbeta-highyield-asset-manager-compelling\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">IVZ \u2013 higher\u2011beta, high\u2011yield asset manager; compelling for income, but not without cycle risk<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Invesco has quietly repaired a lot of the things that scared investors a few years ago. AUM now sits well above $2T, with a mix tilted to equities and fixed income plus a meaningful ETF franchise. Operating margins are back above 30% in many quarters, reflecting real cost discipline and a focus on higher\u2011margin products. The balance sheet is in decent shape, with strong coverage metrics, and the business is solidly cash generative.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/marketchameleon.com\/Overview\/IVZ\/Summary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">marketchameleon<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">On the market side, IVZ has had a very good run from the mid\u2011teens into the mid\u2011$20s, outpacing the broader market over the last year. Even after the move, normalized valuation metrics (low\u2011teens P\/E, around 1x book, mid\u2011single\u2011digit yield depending on price) still look reasonable vs. peers like TROW and BLK. However, asset managers are structurally pro\u2011cyclical: equity corrections, risk\u2011off flows, or a sustained move out of active products could hit both AUM and margins, and the current strong numbers partially reflect a supportive market and some \u201chot hand\u201d benefit in ETFs.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/ivz\/quote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">morningstar<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d as an income + cyclical value play.<\/strong> This fits your financials\/income sleeve nicely, but with the understanding it\u2019s a higher\u2011beta yield name, not a bond proxy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Keeping your positive bias is reasonable. To stay disciplined:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Favor <strong>nibbling on dips<\/strong> into the low\u2011$20s or below if the market wobbles and IVZ, with intact fundamentals, gets sold alongside financials.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Size it so a future risk\u2011off (and accompanying drawdown) is tolerable while you collect the dividend and wait for the next AUM up\u2011cycle.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=ivz%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"jnj--steady-diversified-healthcare-compounder-a-cl\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">JNJ \u2013 steady, diversified healthcare compounder; a classic Marry on the right entry<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Johnson &amp; Johnson continues to be one of the most durable big\u2011pharma\/med\u2011tech franchises: mid\u2011single\u2011digit top\u2011line growth, beats on EPS, and raised guidance despite patent headwinds and litigation noise. Innovative Medicine is still growing, with oncology and immunology anchors partly offsetting Stelara\u2019s cliff, and MedTech is posting healthy growth driven by cardiac devices and other high\u2011value hardware (including contributions from prior acquisitions like Abiomed). The company\u2019s commitment to heavy US manufacturing and R&amp;D spend over the next several years gives it political and tariff insulation, especially in the current policy regime.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">On the risk side, talc litigation and drug\u2011pricing policy remain the two big overhangs. JNJ has the balance sheet and cash flow (tens of billions annually, with strong free cash flow coverage of a ~3%+ dividend) to absorb settlements and adapt to pricing changes, but headlines can still cause sharp, sudden drawdowns. Valuation at your last check\u2014a mid\u2011teens P\/E on forward earnings and a 3\u2011ish percent yield\u2014is very reasonable for this kind of quality, but the stock had already bounced from its lows into the mid\u2011$160s as investors rediscovered its defensive attributes.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching,\u201d but this is a textbook Marry candidate for your core healthcare sleeve.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action: Your <strong>$155\u2013160 buy\u2011the\u2011dip zone<\/strong> and \u201cor breakout above $168 with strong technicals\u201d framing still works well:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Add on dips into that mid\u2011$150s area when litigation or policy headlines spook the tape but fundamentals are intact.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Alternatively, if it breaks out above the high\u2011$160s with volume and no obvious bubble in valuation, you can justify paying up a bit for the quality and stability.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=jnj&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"kelya--deep-value-in-specialty-staffing-a-genuine\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KELYA \u2013 deep value in specialty staffing, a genuine \u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d Marry candidate<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Kelly\u2019s strategic story is much better than the beaten\u2011up stock price suggests. In late 2024, reported revenue was down low\u2011single digits, but <strong>organic<\/strong> growth was positive and outpaced a staffing industry that was shrinking double\u2011digits, thanks to mix shift toward higher\u2011margin science\/engineering\/tech roles and the Motion Recruitment deal. Q4 2024 EPS beat, and while Q1 2025 earnings compressed under integration and macro pressure, those are the exact kind of \u201cone\u2011time\u201d hits that can set up a stronger margin base once the dust settles.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The balance sheet is clean after selling European operations, the dividend sits around 5% with more than a decade of uninterrupted payments, and valuation is extreme for a net\u2011cash, specialty\u2011oriented staffing platform: price\u2011to\u2011sales near 0.1x and a single\u2011digit forward P\/E even on depressed earnings. Near\u2011term guidance is cautious\u2014flat or slightly negative revenue, margin pressure\u2014but the business mix is clearly improving toward more defensible niches and away from commoditized general staffing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/strong>, squarely in your <strong>value + income Marry<\/strong> bucket, recognizing cyclical risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Current levels already look attractive for <strong>scaled\u2011in buying<\/strong>, with the understanding that staffing is cyclical and headlines will stay noisy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Best entries will be on any retest or undercut of the low\u2011$10s\/high\u2011$9s where the yield pushes well above 5% and the multiple looks absurd versus normalized earnings.<br \/>\nThis is a classic \u201cdon\u2019t let it get away\u201d small\u2011cap value where patience and sizing matter more than timing perfection.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=kelya&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"klg--cereal-spin-doing-the-right-things-but-price\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KLG \u2013 You picked them at $11.75 and they were bought out at $23.00 &#8211; good catch!\u00a0<\/h2>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"khc--highyield-staple-with-a-real-selfhelp-story-r\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KHC \u2013 high\u2011yield staple with a real self\u2011help story; \u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d makes sense<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Kraft Heinz is definitively not loved: volumes under pressure, private\u2011label encroachment, and category softness have driven mid\u2011single\u2011digit sales declines and negative organic growth in key quarters. Yet underneath that, you have a company aggressively reshaping its manufacturing base (multi\u2011billion\u2011dollar US plant upgrades and reshoring), looking at portfolio simplification, and leaning on a foodservice arm that\u2019s held up relatively well.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Financially, you\u2019re being paid very well to wait: KHC\u2019s dividend yield is among the highest in large\u2011cap staples (close to 6%), covered by earnings and supported by a still\u2011solid balance sheet and free cash flow. The stock trades around low\u2011teens forward P\/E, near the bottom of its 5\u2011year range, with a consensus \u201cHold\u201d and modestly above\u2011spot price targets that more or less assume a <strong>slow grind turnaround<\/strong> instead of anything heroic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/strong>, a <strong>Marry\u2011type<\/strong> name in your high\u2011yield staples bucket, accepting that it\u2019s a <strong>turnaround, not a growth story<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Scaling in around current depressed levels is justified for income\u2011focused capital, especially if you\u2019re comfortable with a multi\u2011year operational fix.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Even better if you get panic dips into the mid\u2011$20s on weak quarters or negative headlines while the balance sheet, FCF, and capex program remain intact.<br \/>\nSizing should reflect the possibility that the category stays sluggish longer than expected.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=khc%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"kmb--elite-defensive-staple-but-valuation-argues-f\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KMB \u2013 elite defensive staple, but valuation argues for patience<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Kimberly\u2011Clark has done much of what you\u2019d want from a mature staple: leaned into premium tiers, improved product mix, executed on a large cost\u2011cut\/transformation program, and kept dividend growth intact. Recent quarters show steady organic sales growth and margin improvement, even with tariff and FX headwinds, and the company is exiting lower\u2011margin PPE and private\u2011label categories to focus on branded tissue\/personal care with good\u2011better\u2011best architectures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The trade\u2011off is that the <strong>market already recognizes this<\/strong>. At roughly high\u2011teens\/around 19x forward earnings and a yield in the mid\u20113% range, KMB is valued as exactly what it is: a high\u2011quality, low\u2011growth compounder. Analyst views cluster around \u201cHold,\u201d with targets near the current price, implying limited upside without a new growth or margin surprise. It\u2019s a very reasonable anchor for a defensive sleeve, but not an obvious bargain.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d<\/strong>, a <strong>reliable Marry\u2011quality name<\/strong>, but <strong>not a buy here for new money<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat this as a <strong>buy\u2011the\u2011dip candidate<\/strong>: rate spikes, sector rotations out of staples, or transient margin scares that push the P\/E down and yield up (toward 4%+) would be the right time to add.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Until then, it\u2019s more of a hold for existing owners than a target for aggressive accumulation.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=kmb&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"kmx--cyclical-wellrun-usedauto-name-marry-on-the-r\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KMX \u2013 cyclical, well\u2011run used\u2011auto name; Marry on the right price, F in the meantime<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">CarMax is threading a difficult needle: used\u2011car volumes are soft, but the company is improving unit economics, managing inventory tightly, and continuing to push digital and omnichannel, which now represents a large share of inquiries and transactions. EPS beats have come primarily from disciplined cost and inventory management rather than top\u2011line growth, and a mid\u2011single\u2011digit revenue decline in the latest quarter underscores the macro pressure on big\u2011ticket consumer purchases.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The positives: a strong brand, scaled operations, a differentiated digital experience, and a finance arm that helps capture more of the value chain as credit flows normalize. Tariff pressure is mostly indirect, as you noted, and used\u2011car dynamics can actually be somewhat <strong>counter\u2011cyclical<\/strong> relative to new\u2011car pricing and supply. At around mid\u2011$50s, KMX trades at a mid\u2011teens forward P\/E on depressed earnings\u2014neither a screaming bargain nor expensive\u2014and the dividend is modest but real.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d<\/strong>, a <strong>potential Marry in your consumer\/auto bucket<\/strong> once the cycle looks a bit cleaner and\/or the price compensates you more.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>$52\u201354<\/strong> pullback range is a good near\u2011term accumulation window if margins continue to improve and used\u2011car pricing stabilizes.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">A true \u201cback up the truck\u201d zone would be a market or consumer panic that lets you buy in the high\u2011$40s\/low\u2011$50s while the digital strategy and balance sheet remain intact.<br \/>\nUntil then, KMX is a solid watch\u2011list resident and a candidate for smaller \u201cF\u2011sized\u201d trades around macro and rate headlines, with the goal of upgrading it to Marry if valuation resets further or the cycle turns.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=kmx&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"ko--elite-defensive-staple-but-only-a-buy-on-pullb\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">KO \u2013 elite defensive staple, but only a buy on pullbacks<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Coca\u2011Cola is still doing exactly what a global beverage powerhouse should: modest unit case volume growth (~2%), solid organic revenue growth (~6%) driven heavily by price\/mix, and operating margins in the low\u201130s even with FX and refranchising headwinds. Emerging markets (India, China, Brazil) are doing a lot of the heavy lifting, and management continues to push premiumization and smaller\u2011pack revenue density rather than chasing low\u2011margin volume. The dividend keeps grinding higher (about 2.7% yield at your last snapshot) and is well covered by robust free cash flow, with buybacks providing another layer of shareholder return.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\" aria-label=\"PhilStockWorld\u2019s Q4 2025 Watch List \u2013 Stocks to Buy on the Dip \u2013 Members Only! (Part 1)\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/12\/03\/philstockworlds-q4-2025-watch-list-stocks-to-buy-on-the-dip-members-only-part-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">philstockworld<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The trade\u2011off is valuation. At a forward P\/E in the mid\u201120s (25\u201328x by most estimates), KO is priced as the \u201cgold standard\u201d defensive it is, not as a bargain. Analyst targets cluster only modestly above current levels, reflecting a view that, absent either a global risk\u2011off into staples or another leg of margin expansion, near\u2011term upside is limited.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching\u201d<\/strong>, a classic <strong>Marry\u2011quality name<\/strong> that is simply not cheap at the moment.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep KO as a <strong>buy\u2011the\u2011dip candidate<\/strong>: a macro scare, rates spike, or EM wobble that drags it down and pushes the yield toward 3.5%+ would be the right moment to scale in.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">At current premium multiples, treat it more as a hold\/anchor for existing positions rather than a target for new money.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=ko%20%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"levi--brand--d2c-transformation-makes-sense-as-rea\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">LEVI \u2013 brand + D2C transformation, makes sense as \u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Levi Strauss is executing a very clear, very modern retail plan. Direct\u2011to\u2011consumer now accounts for just over half of revenue, growing double\u2011digits, and that mix shift is showing up in the numbers: gross margin reached an all\u2011time high above 62%, and EBIT margins have expanded meaningfully. The Levi\u2019s brand itself is healthy with high\u2011single\u2011digit organic growth, and the Dockers divestiture\u2014sold to Authentic Brands with earnouts\u2014removes a slower, lower\u2011margin asset while funding buybacks and sharpening focus.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Financially, leverage is reasonable, profitability from continuing operations has inflected positively (Q1 net income swing from loss to ~$140M), and the balance sheet supports ongoing dividends and buybacks without overreach. At roughly 14x forward earnings, LEVI is no longer a fire\u2011sale, but still looks reasonable for a global brand with rising D2C mix, improving margins, and a credible capital\u2011allocation plan. Analyst targets sit just above current levels, implying modest upside, but analysts often lag when a turnaround is still in the middle innings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate\u201d<\/strong>, a <strong>Marry\u2011type<\/strong> position in the apparel\/brand bucket if you accept retail cyclicality and tariff noise.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Scaling in around current levels is reasonable, with <strong>extra conviction on pullbacks<\/strong> into the <strong>mid\u2011 to high\u2011$ teens<\/strong> if the D2C\/margin story remains intact.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep an eye on inventories, promotional intensity, and tariff developments; as long as gross margin and D2C growth hold, LEVI deserves to stay in the \u201cdon\u2019t let it get away\u201d category.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=levi%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"lmt--highquality-defense-with-transient-program-pa\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">LMT \u2013 high\u2011quality defense with transient program pain; Marry on the right entry<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Lockheed\u2019s core fundamentals remain what you\u2019d expect: enormous backlog (~$160B+), strong global demand for air, missile, and space systems, and contract structures (cost\u2011plus, escalation clauses) that provide structural protection against tariffs and input\u2011cost spikes. The recent string of program losses (classified aero, international helicopter program) and the associated EPS guidance cut highlight real execution risk, but sales guidance is intact and a large portion of the backlog is due to turn into revenue within a year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Valuation around the low\u2011teens forward P\/E is actually quite reasonable for a prime contractor with this backlog, balance sheet, and geopolitical tailwinds, especially considering that a non\u2011trivial proportion of contracts either pass through cost or have adjustment mechanisms. Localization in Europe (German and Polish production) is strategically smart: it supports local procurement, reduces trade frictions, and broadens the political base of the order book.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching,\u201d but very much a Marry\u2011candidate for your defense\/industrial sleeve.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Your <strong>$400\u2013412<\/strong> pullback zone is about right: that\u2019s where you\u2019re being properly compensated for program\u2011specific risk while still owning one of the best plays on multi\u2011year global defense spending.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Before sizing up, watch for evidence that the worst of the cost\u2011overrun\/program\u2011loss headlines have passed (cleaner quarters, stable or improving guidance).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=lmt&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"love--niche-dtc-furnisher-optionality-is-real-but\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">LOVE \u2013 niche DTC furnisher; optionality is real, but execution &amp; macro keep it a small F<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Lovesac has a very interesting product and brand: modular, higher\u2011ticket seating (Sactionals) with a DTC\u2011heavy model and a differentiated in\u2011store experience. Showroom expansion and product innovation have kept top\u2011line growth positive, but it is now running into the classic DTC physical expansion problem: slower comps, rising promotion, and pressure on margins and cash flow. Q2 and guidance show low\u2011single\u2011digit growth with negative EBITDA in some quarters, indicating that fixed\u2011cost leverage is working against them in the current environment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The balance sheet is still OK\u2014net cash, undrawn revolver\u2014and analysts\u2019 targets in the mid\u2011$20s to $30s highlight the upside if traffic and margins normalize. However, the near\u2011term path is tricky: macro headwinds in furniture, elevated promotional intensity across the category, and the need to keep opening\/refreshing showrooms to sustain brand presence all weigh on profitability. The stock around the mid\u2011teens to high\u2011teens is not obviously expensive on normalized earnings, but the \u201cnormalized\u201d part is uncertain.<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cStill Watching,\u201d a niche F\u2011type high\u2011beta consumer name rather than a core Marry.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat <strong>$15\u201316<\/strong> as the zone where you could justify a <strong>small, speculative position<\/strong> if you see signs of stabilizing margins or healthier traffic.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Keep sizing small and time horizon long; this is an optionality play where execution on margin recovery and store productivity matters more than the next quarter\u2019s comp.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=love%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"prose dark:prose-invert inline leading-relaxed break-words min-w-0 [word-break:break-word] prose-strong:font-medium [&amp;_&gt;*:first-child]:mt-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">LVS has moved from \u201crecovery idea\u201d to \u201cclear leader that\u2019s already re\u2011rated,\u201d but it still deserves a slot as a buy\u2011on\u2011pullbacks Marry candidate for your Asia gaming\/consumer sleeve.<\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"lvs--asia-gaming-leader-now-in-earn-it-territory-o\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">LVS \u2013 Asia gaming leader, now in \u201cearn it\u201d territory on price<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Fundamentally, the Macau and Singapore story is working. Visitor volumes in Macau are now very close to, and in some respects above, 2019 levels, with overnight stays and premium\u2011mass visitation particularly strong as mainland Chinese travel normalizes and infrastructure (bridges, rail, e\u2011visas) lowers friction. LVS sits at the center of that recovery: its Macau resorts dominate the premium\u2011mass and non\u2011gaming mix, and Marina Bay Sands is putting up exceptional numbers\u2014recent quarters showed 50%+ year\u2011over\u2011year revenue growth at MBS and very high incremental margins as operating leverage kicks in.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/las-vegas-sands-stock-lvs-105220277.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">finance.yahoo<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+2<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Financially, recent prints back up the thesis. Full\u2011year net income has climbed into the mid\u2011single\u2011digit billions, with quarterly adjusted EPS in the ~$0.70\u20130.80 range and Q3 2025 revenue up more than 20% year\u2011over\u2011year, handily beating expectations. Balance sheet health is solid for a capital\u2011intensive, cash\u2011flow\u2011rich operator; LVS has restarted and raised its dividend (yield around 1.5\u20132% at current prices) and is selectively returning capital via buybacks while continuing to reinvest in property upgrades and non\u2011gaming attractions. On current numbers, the stock trades in the low\u201120s P\/E on trailing, somewhat lower on forward, which is reasonable given growth, but a far cry from \u201cbombed\u2011out recovery\u201d levels.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/NYSE-LVS\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">tradingview<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">The key change since your August note is <strong>price<\/strong>. From the low\u2011$50s, LVS has run into the mid\u2011 to high\u2011$60s, briefly tagging a new 52\u2011week high above $70 before consolidating a few percent below. Over the last six months, the stock is up more than 60%, massively outperforming the broader consumer discretionary ETF. Street targets average in the high\u2011$60s with a bull case around $80\u2014so there\u2019s potential upside, but the easy re\u2011rating off pandemic and China fears has already happened. You\u2019re no longer being paid for taking the regulatory and macro risk quite as handsomely as you were when it was stuck in the $40s\u201350s.<span class=\"citation inline\" data-state=\"closed\"><a class=\"inline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/story\/news\/36523482\/las-vegas-sands-stock-is-lvs-outperforming-the-consumer-discretionary-sector\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px select-none whitespace-nowrap -top-px font-sans text-base text-foreground selection:bg-super\/50 selection:text-foreground dark:selection:bg-super\/10 dark:selection:text-super\"><span class=\"text-3xs rounded-badge group min-w-4 cursor-pointer text-center align-middle font-mono tabular-nums py-[0.1875rem] leading-snug px-[0.3rem] [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:bg-super dark:[@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-inverse [@media(hover:hover)]:hover:text-white border-subtlest ring-subtlest divide-subtlest bg-subtle\"><span class=\"relative -mt-px inline-block align-middle max-w-[25ch] overflow-hidden\">barchart<\/span><span class=\"ml-xs -mt-px mr-px inline-block align-middle\"><span class=\"opacity-50\">+1<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Updated stance:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Bucket: <strong>\u201cReady to Accumulate,\u201d but with strict price discipline; a Marry\u2011candidate, not a chase.<\/strong> LVS is the clean, scaled way to express Asian tourism + premium\u2011mass + non\u2011gaming expansion, but the entry price now matters a lot more.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Action:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Treat current mid\u2011\/high\u2011$60s as <strong>\u201chold\/watch\u201d territory<\/strong>, not where to initiate a large new position.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Look to <strong>accumulate on pullbacks<\/strong> toward the <strong>low\u2011$60s or below<\/strong>\u2014for example, on China macro scares, Macau headline risk, or a softer\u2011than\u2011expected quarter where the longer\u2011term recovery remains intact. At those levels, the combination of solid free cash flow, a now\u2011reinstated dividend, and durable tourism tailwinds becomes much more attractive.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Size it with an eye on regional and policy risk: Macau concession terms, Singapore regulatory changes, and China travel rules can each create fast, 10\u201320% moves.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?t=lvs%20\\&amp;p=w&amp;s=y\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<h2 id=\"mu--micron-technology-add-new-ftype-ai-memory-play\" class=\"mb-2 mt-4 font-display font-semimedium text-base first:mt-0 md:text-lg [hr+&amp;]:mt-4\">MU \u2013 Micron Technology (Add: New F\u2011Type AI Memory Play)<\/h2>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Micron\u2019s setup has changed enough that it now deserves a spot as an F\u2011type AI name.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">For FY ending Aug 2025, Micron delivered\u00a0<strong>~$37B in revenue, up ~49% YoY<\/strong>, as memory pricing and volumes recovered sharply.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Data\u2011center products (HBM and other server memory) now account for\u00a0<strong>~56% of revenue<\/strong>, and HBM3E revenue alone is running at roughly\u00a0<strong>$2B per quarter<\/strong>, with much of 2026 supply locked in via long\u2011term agreements.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Management and analysts explicitly frame this as an\u00a0<strong>AI\u2011driven \u201cmemory supercycle\u201d<\/strong>: AI servers require far more DRAM and HBM per node than traditional workloads, and the industry\u2019s constrained capacity, EUV\u2011heavy capex, and slow supply response create a\u00a0<strong>multi\u2011year period of tightness and elevated margins<\/strong>.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\">Micron trades at a premium to its old mid\u2011cycle multiples, but on structural AI demand it is still cheaper than many AI\u2011infrastructure plays, with a tangible asset base and a clearer linkage between AI capex and its top line. Yes, it faces China\/export\u2011control risk, but less so than front\u2011end logic\/EDA, and the company is deliberately pivoting capacity away from low\u2011margin consumer (exiting Crucial retail) toward enterprise and AI\u2011focused products.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Recommendation: Ready to Accumulate (New F Addition)<\/strong><br \/>\nMicron now fits cleanly as a\u00a0<strong>core F\u2011type AI infrastructure satellite<\/strong>\u00a0next to NVDA:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"marker:text-quiet list-disc\">\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Thesis:<\/strong>\u00a0AI memory and HBM supercycle; structurally higher content per system + constrained supply \u2192 higher mid\u2011cycle margins than past memory upturns.<span data-state=\"closed\">\u200b<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Role:<\/strong>\u00a0Picks\u2011and\u2011shovels for AI, but one level down from NVDA\u2014more cyclical, more capital\u2011intensive, but still strongly levered to the same secular trend.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"py-0 my-0 prose-p:pt-0 prose-p:mb-2 prose-p:my-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:pt-0 [&amp;&gt;p]:mb-2 [&amp;&gt;p]:my-0\">\n<p class=\"my-2 [&amp;+p]:mt-4 [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:inline-block [&amp;_strong:has(+br)]:pb-2\"><strong>Approach:<\/strong>\u00a0Accumulate on\u00a0<strong>pullbacks and cycle scares<\/strong>\u00a0(e.g., on any pricing wobble or macro AI rotation) rather than at peak enthusiasm, with the understanding that earnings will remain volatile but long\u2011term demand is structurally higher.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/charts2-node.finviz.com\/chart.ashx?cs=l&amp;t=mu&amp;tf=w&amp;s=linear&amp;pm=0&amp;am=0&amp;ct=candle_stick&amp;o[0][ot]=sma&amp;o[0][op]=20&amp;o[0][oc]=FF8F33C6&amp;o[1][ot]=sma&amp;o[1][op]=50&amp;o[1][oc]=DCB3326D&amp;o[2][ot]=sma&amp;o[2][op]=200&amp;o[2][oc]=DC32B363&amp;o[3][ot]=patterns&amp;o[3][op]=&amp;o[3][oc]=000\" \/><\/p>\n<hr class=\"bg-subtle h-px border-0\" \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our last major Watch List update was published on August 3rd, 2025, Part 1 and Part 2. Back then, we were just beginning to see the reality of the new tariff regime and renewed inflation getting priced into the market.\u00a0We had plenty of great ideas in August and we added a lot of them to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12850800,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,11],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12850798","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-available","8":"category-portfolio-review"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12850798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12850798"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12850798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12851373,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12850798\/revisions\/12851373"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12850800"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12850798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12850798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12850798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}