{"id":12828798,"date":"2025-07-08T09:32:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T13:32:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/?p=12828798"},"modified":"2025-07-15T13:19:43","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T17:19:43","slug":"money-talk-tuesday-up-106-in-3-months-here-are-our-new-picks-adjustments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/07\/08\/money-talk-tuesday-up-106-in-3-months-here-are-our-new-picks-adjustments\/","title":{"rendered":"Money Talk Tuesday &#8211; Up 106% in 3 Months &#8211; Here Are Our New Picks &#038; Adjustments:"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>$210,508!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>That is up $110,508 <\/strong>(110.5%)<strong> overall since our $100,000 Aug 21st, 2024 restart of our very popular portfolio and you can see why it&#8217;s so popular &#8211; with this fantastic one-year performance. Actually, though, it&#8217;s a fantastic 3-month performance as the market collapse in February left us at just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/03\/25\/money-talk-tuesday-time-to-go-shopping\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$101,788 <\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/03\/25\/money-talk-tuesday-time-to-go-shopping\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(up 1.8%)<\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/03\/25\/money-talk-tuesday-time-to-go-shopping\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> on March 25th<\/a> &#8211; the last time I was on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.td.com\/ca\/en\/investing\/direct-investing\/moneytalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bloomberg&#8217;s Money Talk Show<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d3mjb9ojo74ap1.cloudfront.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/MTP-March-25-2025.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As I said at the time, of our beaten-down positions:\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>&#8220;<span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy\"><span class=\"css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3\">While the S&amp;P\u2019s still sulking at -1.9% \u2013 it\u2019s as much as we can hope for in\u00a0 a downturn like this but, more importantly, there are stocks to buy that are down 10-20% and we have CASH!!! THAT was the whole point of our conservative entry strategy.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>We only trade the Money Talk Portfolio on show days and I\u2019m only on about once per quarter so we can\u2019t take advantage of quick adjustments, as we did with our PSW Members when we cashed out and doubled down our hedges back on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/03\/07\/non-farm-friday-will-the-jobs-report-stop-us-from-going-over-the-cliff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">March 6th and 7th<\/a> \u2013 avoiding the worst part of the correction but we were able to aggressively adjust our positions and we added 4 new ones (OZK, FL, WHR and ARCB) at what we expected was going to be a bottom &#8211; according to the 5% Rule Chart we had been using to predict the S&amp;Ps movement since 2023:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12828799\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"990\" height=\"744\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025.png 990w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025-150x113.png 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025-696x523.png 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SPX-July-8-2025-265x198.png 265w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 990px) 100vw, 990px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The show aired taped on the 25th (as I will be taping this afternoon) and aired on March 26th at 7pm and here was my overview, where I talked about how excited to buy into Trump&#8217;s &#8220;<em>Tariff Chaos<\/em>&#8221; that was about to hit on April 2nd:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Esezdq6imjY?si=8kxjuPpQQTuPZ4pi\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">0:00 \u2013 Market shift since record highs in February<br \/>\n0:28 \u2013 Tariffs as the key cause of market volatility<br \/>\n1:00 \u2013 Stocks now presenting value opportunities<br \/>\n1:48 \u2013 Canada\u2013U.S. trade impact and uncertainty over tariff policy<br \/>\n2:58 \u2013 Market rebound after five down weeks and technical levels explained<br \/>\n3:52 \u2013 FedEx earnings and weak consumer confidence raise concerns<br \/>\n4:08 \u2013 Canadian investor risks from U.S. tariffs and retaliations<br \/>\n4:30 \u2013 Sector-specific risks: autos, steel, energy<br \/>\n5:10 \u2013 Defensive and logistics-related plays for Canadians<br \/>\n5:45 \u2013 Sector outlook: financials, REITs, gold miners<\/p>\n<p><strong>As you can see, we laid out our strategy for investing into the drop and, while the specific adjustments were too numerous for a TV segment, we discussed them in the middle segment and, of course, we always publish our Money Talk trade ideas here, at www.PhilStockWorld.com\/MoneyTalk .\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/869fblGcDBw?si=gJ47RmCKOTcG5mCT\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>Note my logic on why it&#8217;s great to be flat in a down market. Defensive trading in the first few months of the year allowed us to be well-positioned to go on the offence when the crash finally came:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/869fblGcDBw?si=jGxMrhKoWkJegHyR\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">0:03 \u2013 Portfolio performance flat in a down market<br \/>\n0:40 \u2013 Stocks that performed well, portfolio strategy<br \/>\n1:00 \u2013 Defensive investment strategy based on Trump policies<br \/>\n1:52 \u2013 Lockheed underperforms\u00a0<br \/>\n2:00 \u2013 Gold outlook and Barrick Gold investment thesis<br \/>\n2:50 \u2013 Risk to gold if global stability returns<br \/>\n3:20 \u2013 Market risks including tariffs and tourism impact<br \/>\n4:20 \u2013 Charts no longer reliable due to fundamental shifts<\/p>\n<p>By the way, if you would like to get these kinds of <strong>insights<\/strong> for your portfolio and trade ideas like these <strong>EVERY DAY<\/strong> &#8211; simply come and <strong><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/amember\/signup\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">join us at PhilStockWorld.com<\/a><\/span><\/strong> and benefit from our <strong>Live Member Chat Room<\/strong> &#8211; where you will have access to all of our <strong>Member Portfolios<\/strong> as well as on-the-fly <strong>analysis<\/strong> and, of course, our World-Famous <strong><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\">Top Trade Alerts!<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In our final segment (30-minute show), we got to the best part &#8211; our 4 New Trade Ideas for the Quarter (more on those in the review):\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/GC747443f44?si=7HgwWt5oKMt3J22v\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">0:00 \u2013 Trade idea: Bank OZK (Bank of the Ozarks)<br \/>\n1:55 \u2013 Risk analysis of Bank OZK trade<br \/>\n2:35 \u2013 Foot Locker and Nike relationship<br \/>\n4:25 \u2013 Whirlpool Corporation and tariff impact<br \/>\n7:15 \u2013 Income strategy using Whirlpool options spread<br \/>\n8:20 \u2013 Trade idea: ArcBest and logistics sector opportunity<\/p>\n<p><strong>As evidenced in the interview, we are FUNDAMENTAL Investors who use options for leverage and hedging &#8211; it is generally a conservative strategy with a high-probability of success. And, when we are right, we can be VERY RIGHT as exemplified by Foot Locker <\/strong>(FL)<strong>, which gained almost all of its potential $34,400 <\/strong>(614%)<strong> when they accepted an offer from Dick&#8217;s Sporting Goods <\/strong>(DKS)<strong> &#8211; we were not the only ones who thought they were undervalued!\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/FLd073299132i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Now, let&#8217;s take a look at how the Money Talk Portfolio looks as of yesterday&#8217;s close and, as usual, we will first go through each trade and decide if they need adjusting and than consider what new trades will give us even better balance going forward from here:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12828801\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1398\" height=\"618\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025.jpg 1398w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-1024x453.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-768x340.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-150x66.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-696x308.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3a-July-8-2025-1068x472.jpg 1068w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1398px) 100vw, 1398px\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>T &#8211; We fully expect the short puts to expire worthless, so there&#8217;s no reason to buy them back early so we have <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$383 (100%) of upside potential<\/span><\/strong> over the next 6 months.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/Td075997058i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>LMT &#8211; Last review, we bought back the successful part of this trade (the short calls) and the current net loss is an improvement and we have a small overall profit. When evaluating a portfolio position, you want to consider it as a brand new trade. For instance, would I sell 2 LMT 2027 $400 puts for $25.30? That would net us into 200 shares of LMT at net $374.70 and the stock is currently $469.06 &#8211; so it would be a $94.36 (20.1%) discount &#8211; that sounds good to me!\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>We like LMT and they are undervalued at 15.6x forward earnings and those earnings are probably underestimated as Trump is dropping bombs and Israel is dropping bombs and intercepting missiles as well as Ukraine&#8230; Well, it never ends, does it? Trump&#8217;s $1Tn+ Military Budget will be good for LMT so we&#8217;re going to leave them aggressively uncovered for now. At $550, the $470 calls would be $80 ($24,000) and the current net of the trade is $12,820 so we have <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$11,180 (87.2%) of upside potential<\/span><\/strong> but also we&#8217;ll sell more calls to reduce our basis &#8211; just not yet.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/LMTw080872805i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>ARCB &#8211; One of our new trades! Doing very well already so no notes at net $5,200 and that&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">up $4,200 (420%) from our net $1,000 entry<\/span><\/strong> and it&#8217;s a $20,000 spread so we STILL have <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$14,800 (284%) left to gain<\/span><\/strong> &#8211; still very good, even if you missed the first 420%&#8230;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/ARCBw081281654i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>B &#8211; We have 5 uncovered calls so it would be a sin not to turn that into some income. <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Let&#8217;s sell 7 Jan $22 calls for $2 ($1,400)<\/span><\/strong> as that drops our basis to $4,350 and we&#8217;re currently net $9,702 so that&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">up $5,352 (123%)<\/span><\/strong> with <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$5,298 left to gain<\/span><\/strong> + whatever else we can sell in 2026.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/Bd081858334i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>BCS &#8211; Miles above our target at net $5,700 on the $8,000 spread so there&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$2,300 (40.3%) left to gain<\/span><\/strong> but it&#8217;s kind of dull. At least we&#8217;re done in 6 months so may as well be patient as 40% in 6 months is not a fish you want to throw back, is it? And all they have to do is hold $12 (or not drop more than 33%).\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/BCSd082152746i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>FL &#8211; As noted above, they are getting bought and the current net is $36,200 on the $40,000 spread for just the bull call spread and we don&#8217;t have any reason NOT to wait to collect the last $3,800 (10.5%) there and, including the short puts, our net is $34,000 with <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$6,000 (17.6%) left to gain<\/span><\/strong> &#8211; normal trading services would consider that good for 18 months, right?\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/BCSd082152746i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12828802\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1396\" height=\"925\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025.jpg 1396w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-1024x679.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-768x509.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-150x99.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-696x461.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/MTP-3b-July-8-2025-1068x708.jpg 1068w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1396px) 100vw, 1396px\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>IVZ &#8211; This one is right on track at net $8,475 on the $21,000 spread so we have <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$12,525 (147%) upside potential<\/span><\/strong> and some 2026 income potential as well.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/IVZd082711760i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>NOK &#8211; They are already at goal at net $5,140 and it&#8217;s a $7,500 spread so we still have <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$2,360 (45.9%) left to gain<\/span><\/strong> so I guess&#8230; yawn&#8230; we&#8217;ll keep it.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/NOKd083009604i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>OZK &#8211; Another one of last Qs new trades. Already up nicely at net $9,525 and that&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">up $5,825 (157%) since March<\/span><\/strong> with <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$15,475 (162%) left to gain<\/span><\/strong> and we&#8217;re just $2 away from goal with 18 months to go. <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Great for a new trade!<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/OZKd083669655i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>PFE &#8211; It causes me physical pain not to have PFE, AAPL, IBM, T, CSCO, KO and a few more in our portfolios. Of course, they don&#8217;t all fit in all portfolios but, when they get low &#8211; we try to buy them.\u00a0 PFE was low and they are only just starting to make a move back to the $30s, where they should be. We sold short July puts and calls and we&#8217;ll buy back the short July calls &#8211; as they can only hurt us. We&#8217;ll give them a chance to run up on earnings but <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">there&#8217;s no reason we can&#8217;t sell 7 Oct 26 puts for $1.75 ($1,225)<\/span><\/strong>, which drops our basis to $1,165 and the current net is -$664 so we are <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">DOWN $1,829 (156%)<\/span><\/strong>, ruining our perfect record! Still, it&#8217;s a $14,000 spread so there&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$15,829 (2,383%) of upside potential<\/span><\/strong>. Blessed are the losers &#8211; because they giveth us great discounts for new entries&#8230;\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/PFEw083787833i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>SYF &#8211; This was our <strong>2025 Trade of the Year selection back in November<\/strong>.\u00a0 We bought back the short calls for an <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$8,475 gain back in March<\/span><\/strong> and we sold 10 more puts and now we&#8217;re at net $21,150 and I think $105 is a reasonable target for 18 months but <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">we can sell 10 2027 $80 calls for $8 ($8,000)<\/span><\/strong> and I can&#8217;t turn that down as that makes our net entry a $13,325 credit (including our cashed-out profit) and <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">we can also sell 7 Nov $70 calls for $5.75 ($4,025)<\/span><\/strong> so now we&#8217;re at a net $17,350 CREDIT on the $60,000 spread that&#8217;s $30,000 in the money already with <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$77,350 of upside potential PLUS more short-term selling next year<\/span><\/strong>.\u00a0 Aren&#8217;t options fun?\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/SYFd085774188i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>I guess you can see why SYF was our Trade of the Year &#8211; so much fun, so much profit!\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>TGT &#8211; Disappointing so far and <strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">down $15,280<\/span><\/strong> at a net $16,150 CREDIT but is $150 still a realistic short-call target for 2027? Not likely but $102 is only 12.7x forward earnings so 15x would be about 10% higher than here at $112 so I&#8217;d call that a minimum and $120 is very likely so call it a $30 spread and that would be $45,000 for <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$61,150 (378%) upside potential<\/span><\/strong> and I don&#8217;t want to sell short-term calls so we&#8217;ll just see how the next earnings look.\u00a0 <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Fantastic for a new trade but you can sell the 2027 $120 calls and make it even cheaper!<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/TGTd090726825i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>WHR &#8211; The last of our new trades has been doing all the right things recently and now we&#8217;re at net $15,875, which is up a quick $17,075 (1,422%) from our $1,200 credit entry 3 months ago. It&#8217;s a $30,000 spread so <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">we still have $12,925 (75.6%) upside potential<\/span><\/strong> and we do have uncovered calls so <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">let&#8217;s sell 7 Sept $110 calls for $7.10 ($4,970)<\/span><\/strong> to drop our basis to a $6,170 credit.\u00a0\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/WHRd091638222i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Not only do we have 75.6% upside potential but, using just 73 of the 556 days we have to sell, we sold $4,970 <\/strong>(29.1% of our current value)<strong> worth of short calls and the ONE thing we know for absolute certainty in the market is &#8211; ALL PREMIUMS EXPIRE WORTHLESS!\u00a0 That is why we call our PhilStockWorld Strategy:<\/strong> &#8220;<strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/adamsarhan\/2016\/01\/20\/how-to-be-the-house-not-the-gambler-on-wall-street\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Be the House &#8211; NOT the Gambler!<\/a><\/em><\/strong>&#8221;\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/w5WVljziKj4?si=b8KBZKe8UWd0v3lK\" width=\"800\" height=\"400\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>XOM &#8211; I feel dirty just owning this stock and it&#8217;s not even up (down $983 (31%) from our $3,170 entry). There&#8217;s nothing to change &#8211; with Trump&#8217;s energy policies &#8211; they&#8217;ll get there&#8230;\u00a0 It&#8217;s a $20,000 spreads so there&#8217;s <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$17,813 (814%) upside potential<\/span><\/strong> so dirty but fun!\u00a0 <strong>Good for a new trade, of course.<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/XOMd093196431i.png\" alt=\"Finviz Chart\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>So <span style=\"color: #339966;\">our adjustments above are putting $19,620 in our pockets<\/span> and think about that for a moment. If we have a 210,000 portfolio and we sell $19,000 worth of premium PER QUARTER &#8211; we are going to be well on our way to some outstanding returns! That is what our &#8220;Be the House &#8211; NOT the Gambler!&#8221; strategy is all about.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">The remaining upside potential of our 14 trades is $255,388 (121%) over the next 18 months<\/span><\/strong>, so we are on track to continue our current pace of gains PLUS we will keep selling that premium every quarter for additional income. Clever, right?\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Meanwhile, we have plenty of CASH!!! so let&#8217;s go ahead and add two new trades to the portfolio:\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/AMATw130999824i.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer ugc\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/AMATw130999824i.png\" alt=\"comment image\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 2 AMAT Dec 2027 $150 puts for $17.25 ($3,450)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Buy 3 AMAT Dec 2027 $180 calls for $56.50 ($16,950)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 3 Oct $200 calls for $12.75 ($3,825)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 2 Oct $180 puts for $7 ($1,400)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>That\u2019s net $8,275 and our target is $300+ and that would be $120 on the Dec 2027 calls ($36,000) with an <span style=\"color: #339966;\">upside potential of $22,725 (335%)<\/span>. The Dec 2027 $280 calls (as high as they go) are $22 \u2013 miles more than the short Oct $200 calls so that would be an easy roll if we had to so no worries to the upside and many more sales to go (2.5 years) for income while we wait. The risk is being assigned 200 shares at $150 ($30,000) and 200 shares at $180 ($36,000) so stops would be a good idea if $170 fails and I would expect roughly a $10 loss ($5,000 total) if that should happen.\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>The upside potential is $27,725 (335%) PLUS additional short-term sales and, if we limit our puts to a $5,000 loss plus the $8,275 cash we start with \u2013 then the reward outweighs the risk by 2:1 and, if we do that consistently, we only need to be right 1\/3 of the time to break even!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/SLBw130917621i.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer ugc\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/publish.finviz.com\/070825\/SLBw130917621i.png\" alt=\"comment image\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 5 SLB 2027 $37.50 puts for $5.80 ($2,900)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Buy 20 SLB 2027 $30 calls for $9.80 ($19,600)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 20 SLB 2027 $50 calls for $2 ($4,000)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 5 SLB Sept $37.50 calls for $1.70 ($850)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Sell 5 SLB Sept $37.50 puts for $2.55 ($1,275)<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>That\u2019s net $10,575 on the $40,000 spread with <span style=\"color: #339966;\">$29,425 (278%) of upside potential at $50<\/span>. The short calls are well-covered so the real risk is being assigned 1,000 shares of SLB at $37.50 ($37,500) and let\u2019s say it falls to $20 ($20,000) and, if the spread is a total loss, you would be down ($15,325 + $4,675 =) $20,000.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, we collected $2,125 using 72 if the 555 days we have to sell &#8211; so there is great income potential while we wait.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So we spent $18,850 &#8211; LESS than the cash we collected above and we added two new positions with <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$52,150 (276%) of upside potential<\/span><\/strong> AND another <strong><span style=\"color: #339966;\">$7,350 (38.9%) of potential quarterly income<\/span><\/strong> as well!\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>See how that works?\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>$210,508! That is up $110,508 (110.5%) overall since our $100,000 Aug 21st, 2024 restart of our very popular portfolio and you can see why it&#8217;s so popular &#8211; with this fantastic one-year performance. Actually, though, it&#8217;s a fantastic 3-month performance as the market collapse in February left us at just $101,788 (up 1.8%) on March [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12828801,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25411,21],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12828798","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-moneytalk","8":"category-available"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12828798"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828798\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12828976,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828798\/revisions\/12828976"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12828801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12828798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12828798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12828798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}