{"id":12828481,"date":"2025-06-19T22:40:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T02:40:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/?p=12828481"},"modified":"2025-06-19T23:26:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T03:26:20","slug":"psws-weekly-webinar-fed-meeting-new-portfolios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/06\/19\/psws-weekly-webinar-fed-meeting-new-portfolios\/","title":{"rendered":"PSW&#8217;s Weekly Webinar: FED Meeting &#038; New Portfolios"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=eXCWxZK5O7I&amp;t=1279s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FED Meeting &amp; New Portfolios (6\/18\/2025)<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/eXCWxZK5O7I?si=bWQl9gbW8N2TrJav\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timeline\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>0:00 \u2013 Market overview: \u201ceverything\u2019s drifting along\u201d<\/li>\n<li>1:30 \u2013 Bitcoin\u2019s 5 % drop &amp; why it can\u2019t function as money<\/li>\n<li>3:20 \u2013 Introduction to stable coins<\/li>\n<li>4:40 \u2013 USDT (\u201cbull-shitty\u201d) vs USDC distinctions<\/li>\n<li>8:45 \u2013 Why Visa &amp; Mastercard sell off on USDC threat<\/li>\n<li>10:15 \u2013 How a USDC transaction works (1 coin = 1 dollar)<\/li>\n<li>12:05 \u2013 Stable-coin float &amp; the business model for Walmart\/Amazon<\/li>\n<li>13:28 \u2013 Retail incentives (1 % back) &amp; bypassing card fees<\/li>\n<li>15:26 \u2013 Senate passes stable-coin regulation (\u201cGENIUS Act\u201d)<\/li>\n<li>17:48 \u2013 \u201cBe very careful\u201d \u2014 stable-coin scam warnings<\/li>\n<li>20:46 \u2013 High-denomination cash &amp; inflation anecdote<\/li>\n<li>21:40 \u2013 Visa\/Mastercard fundamentals under tariff pressure<\/li>\n<li>28:05 \u2013 Credit-card membership-fee model vs Costco analogy<\/li>\n<li>30:00 \u2013 Set agenda: Fed decision &amp; portfolio reviews ahead<\/li>\n<li>31:57 \u2013 \u201cAlways something\u201d crisis chart; long-run market perspective<\/li>\n<li>39:10 \u2013 Options lesson: building an IBM 250\/300 bull-call spread<\/li>\n<li>54:20 \u2013 Jack in the Box deep dive and trade repair strategy<\/li>\n<li>1:07:00 \u2013 FOMC policy statement released (rates on hold)<\/li>\n<li>1:08:42 \u2013 AI (\u2018Warren\u2019) dissects the Fed statement<\/li>\n<li>1:27:00 \u2013 Commentary on Powell\u2019s press conference Q&amp;A<\/li>\n<li>1:54:15 \u2013 Portfolio reviews: upside calculations &amp; cash management<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"87\" data-end=\"630\">Phil begins the webinar by noting the markets are essentially drifting sideways and warns against over-interpreting daily fluctuations. He emphasizes that nothing meaningful has changed\u2014Bitcoin is down sharply, highlighting its unsuitability as a currency due to extreme volatility and impracticality for real commerce. This segues into a discussion of stablecoins, particularly USDT (which Phil labels \u201cbullshitty\u201d) versus USDC, which is fully backed by U.S. dollars and supported by major institutions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1008\" data-end=\"1347\">Phil underscores the explosive rise in scams tied to stablecoins and urges caution\u2014there is no legitimate way to \u201cinvest\u201d in something that is simply a digital proxy for a dollar. He likens it to a scam where someone convinces you a $500 bill will soon be worth $550. It makes no sense\u2014a stablecoin is meant to be worth $1, period.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1349\" data-end=\"1781\">He transitions to discussing the Fed\u2019s decision to hold interest rates steady, which disappointed markets hoping for more clarity on rate cuts. He notes that Powell\u2019s tone is neutral but cautious, showing reduced fear of stagflation while remaining firmly in &#8220;wait and see&#8221; mode. Trump\u2019s demands for aggressive rate cuts are unrealistic, Phil argues, and dangerous\u2014no one will lend the U.S. money at 2% when inflation is higher.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1783\" data-end=\"2243\">Next, Phil goes into a detailed segment on options strategy using IBM as an example. He builds a bull-call spread, walks through potential profits, and shows how layering in short calls and short puts can generate regular income and yield over 200% in 18 months. He highlights the importance of choosing stocks with steady trajectories rather than chasing explosive growth.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2245\" data-end=\"2586\">Phil then reviews portfolio holdings, showing\u00a0how each trade has a clear expected return, using a mix of blue-chip stocks, aggressive spreads, and strategic put selling.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2588\" data-end=\"2885\">He finishes with a review of Jack in the Box, explaining its recent plunge and offering a repair strategy involving short puts. While acknowledging high risk, he notes the valuation is extremely depressed and may offer turnaround potential\u2014though he wouldn\u2019t initiate a new position right now.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2887\" data-end=\"3176\">Phil closes with broader observations about markets, discipline, and value investing. He stresses the importance of having a plan, maintaining flexibility, and never overcommitting. Quoting Warren Buffett, he reminds the audience: \u201cRule #1: Don\u2019t lose money. Rule #2: See Rule #1.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"whitespace-pre-wrap break-words\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1614357595527000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFYqMLCLryontJKNA2_zPqFOeKskA\">Phil\u2019s Weekly Trading Webinars<\/a> provide an excellent opportunity to see what we do at PSW. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/amember\/signup\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe to Trend Watchers and join us LIVE next time! <\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1614357595527000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFYqMLCLryontJKNA2_zPqFOeKskA\">Check out Phil\u2019s previous weekly webinars on YouTube, here &gt;<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>[ctct form=&#8221;12730731&#8243; show_title=&#8221;false&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FED Meeting &amp; New Portfolios (6\/18\/2025) Timeline\u00a0 0:00 \u2013 Market overview: \u201ceverything\u2019s drifting along\u201d 1:30 \u2013 Bitcoin\u2019s 5 % drop &amp; why it can\u2019t function as money 3:20 \u2013 Introduction to stable coins 4:40 \u2013 USDT (\u201cbull-shitty\u201d) vs USDC distinctions 8:45 \u2013 Why Visa &amp; Mastercard sell off on USDC threat 10:15 \u2013 How a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12828487,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19951,45,26922,21,1,12,26306],"tags":[969,22131,26919],"class_list":{"0":"post-12828481","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-chart-school","8":"category-appears-on-main-page","9":"category-market-news","10":"category-available","11":"category-uncategorized","12":"category-phils-favorites","13":"category-webinars","14":"tag-charts","15":"tag-webinar","16":"tag-webinars"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12828481"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828481\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12828488,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12828481\/revisions\/12828488"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12828487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12828481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12828481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12828481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}