{"id":12806032,"date":"2025-04-08T15:05:19","date_gmt":"2025-04-08T19:05:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/?p=12806032"},"modified":"2025-04-08T18:00:04","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T22:00:04","slug":"update-on-the-psws-moneytalk-portfolio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/2025\/04\/08\/update-on-the-psws-moneytalk-portfolio\/","title":{"rendered":"From Tariffs to Trade Ideas: Phil Davis with Greg Bonnell at Bloomberg&#8217;s Money Talk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this three-part series, Phil Davis joins Greg Bonnell of BNN Bloomberg to break down the volatile start to 2025. From rising tariffs to shifting investor sentiment, Phil offers a sharp take on how to navigate uncertainty with a value-driven approach.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Episode 1: Market volatility, tariff risks, and where investors should look for opportunity.<\/li>\n<li>Episode 2: Portfolio resilience in a down market, stocks that are relatively strong, and why Phil is bullish on gold.<\/li>\n<li>Episode 3: Four detailed trade setups in Bank OZK, Foot Locker, Whirlpool and ArcBest.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnnbloomberg.ca\/video\/shows\/money-talk\/2025\/03\/27\/update-on-the-philstockworldcommoneytalk-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Update on the PSW&#8217;s MoneyTalk Portfolio<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/869fblGcDBw?si=ihPPuNX2A4y0GvTA\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Timeline:<\/p>\n<p>0:03 \u2013 Portfolio performance flat in a down market<br \/>\n0:40 \u2013 Stocks that performed well, portfolio strategy<br \/>\n1:00 \u2013 Defensive investment strategy based on Trump policies<br \/>\n1:52 \u2013 Lockheed underperforms\u00a0<br \/>\n2:00 \u2013 Gold outlook and Barrick Gold investment thesis<br \/>\n2:50 \u2013 Risk to gold if global stability returns<br \/>\n3:20 \u2013 Market risks including tariffs and tourism impact<br \/>\n4:20 \u2013 Charts no longer reliable due to fundamental shifts<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style-scope ytd-watch-metadata\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Esezdq6imjY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Looking for market opportunities amid tariff tensions<\/a><\/h3>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Esezdq6imjY?si=HD22Jo_U92SxnYPq\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Timeline:<\/p>\n<p>0:00 \u2013 Market shift since record highs in February<br \/>\n0:28 \u2013 Tariffs as the key cause of market volatility<br \/>\n1:00 \u2013 Stocks now presenting value opportunities<br \/>\n1:48 \u2013 Canada\u2013U.S. trade impact and uncertainty over tariff policy<br \/>\n2:58 \u2013 Market rebound after five down weeks and technical levels explained<br \/>\n3:52 \u2013 FedEx earnings and weak consumer confidence raise concerns<br \/>\n4:08 \u2013 Canadian investor risks from U.S. tariffs and retaliations<br \/>\n4:30 \u2013 Sector-specific risks: autos, steel, energy<br \/>\n5:10 \u2013 Defensive and logistics-related plays for Canadians<br \/>\n5:45 \u2013 Sector outlook: financials, REITs, gold miners<\/p>\n<h3>Four New Trades for the MoneyTalk Portfolio<\/h3>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/GC747443f44?si=zxylkIxAIf60mDAY\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Timeline:<\/p>\n<p>0:00 \u2013 Trade idea: Bank OZK (Bank of the Ozarks)<br \/>\n1:55 \u2013 Risk analysis of Bank OZK trade<br \/>\n2:35 \u2013 Foot Locker and Nike relationship<br \/>\n4:25 \u2013 Whirlpool Corporation and tariff impact<br \/>\n7:15 \u2013 Income strategy using Whirlpool options spread<br \/>\n8:20 \u2013 Trade idea: ArcBest and logistics sector opportunity<\/p>\n<p>Trade Ideas:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-12806087\" src=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-1024x574.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"423\" height=\"237\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-1024x574.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-696x390.png 696w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM-1068x599.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Screenshot-2025-04-08-at-1.11.37-PM.png 1124w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 423px) 100vw, 423px\" \/><\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"136\" data-end=\"161\">1. Bank OZK (OZK)<\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"163\" data-end=\"319\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"163\" data-end=\"319\">\n<p>Sell 10 contracts of the 2027 $45 puts at $7.50 each<br \/>\n\u2192 Total premium collected: 10 \u00d7 $750 = $7,500<\/p>\n<p>Buy 20 of the $40\u2013$52.50 call spreads at $5.60 each<br \/>\n\u2192 Total cost: 20 \u00d7 $560 = $11,200<\/p>\n<p>Net Cash Outlay: $11,200 (cost of spreads) &#8211; $7,500 (premium from puts) = $3,700<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcb0 Potential Profit:<br \/>\nEach spread pays a max of: $52.50 \u2013 $40 = $12.50<\/p>\n<p>Total max payout with stock above $52.50 at expiration: 20 \u00d7 $1,250 = $25,000<\/p>\n<p>Maximum Profit: $25,000 \u2013 $3,700 (cash outlay) = $21,300<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"\" data-start=\"1118\" data-end=\"1121\" \/>\n<h4 data-start=\"1123\" data-end=\"1150\">2. Foot Locker (FL)<\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"1152\" data-end=\"1314\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1152\" data-end=\"1314\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1154\" data-end=\"1314\">Stock Price on March 26, 2025: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Closed at $15.31<\/span> \u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1337\" data-end=\"1433\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1339\" data-end=\"1433\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">20 contracts of the $17.50 puts for a total premium of $9,200.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1434\" data-end=\"1755\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1436\" data-end=\"1529\">Buy <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">40 contracts of the $12.50\u2013$22.50 call spreads.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1532\" data-end=\"1755\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1532\" data-end=\"1637\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1534\" data-end=\"1637\">Spread Width: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$10.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1640\" data-end=\"1755\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1642\" data-end=\"1755\">Total Potential Upside: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$40,000.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1756\" data-end=\"1864\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1758\" data-end=\"1864\">Net Cash Outlay: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$5,600.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"1865\" data-end=\"1982\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1867\" data-end=\"1982\">Maximum Potential Profit: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$34,400 if the stock reaches $22.50.<\/span>\u200b\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2110\" data-end=\"2215\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2112\" data-end=\"2215\">Maximum Risk: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Potential obligation to purchase shares at $17.50, leading to a significant loss if the stock price declines substantially.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"\" data-start=\"2217\" data-end=\"2220\" \/>\n<h4 data-start=\"2222\" data-end=\"2248\">3. Whirlpool (WHR)<\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"2250\" data-end=\"2412\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2250\" data-end=\"2412\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2252\" data-end=\"2412\">Stock Price on March 26, 2025: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Closed at $93.87<\/span> \u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2435\" data-end=\"2642\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2437\" data-end=\"2531\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">5 contracts of the 2027 $100 puts at $21.50 each.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2534\" data-end=\"2642\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2534\" data-end=\"2642\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2536\" data-end=\"2642\">Net Entry Price: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$100 &#8211; $21.50 = $78.50.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2643\" data-end=\"2738\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2645\" data-end=\"2738\">Buy <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">15 contracts of the $90 calls.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2739\" data-end=\"3061\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2741\" data-end=\"2835\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">10 contracts of the $110 calls.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2838\" data-end=\"3061\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2838\" data-end=\"2943\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2840\" data-end=\"2943\">Spread Width: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$20.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"2946\" data-end=\"3061\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2948\" data-end=\"3061\">Total Potential Upside: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$30,000.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3062\" data-end=\"3158\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3064\" data-end=\"3158\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">June $97.50 calls for $2,700.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3159\" data-end=\"3255\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3161\" data-end=\"3255\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">June $100 puts for $5,000.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3256\" data-end=\"3374\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3258\" data-end=\"3374\">Total Cash Flow Collected: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$7,700.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3375\" data-end=\"3492\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3377\" data-end=\"3492\">Net Credit at Initiation: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$1,200.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3493\" data-end=\"3610\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3495\" data-end=\"3610\">Maximum Potential Profit: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$31,200.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3631\" data-end=\"3736\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3633\" data-end=\"3736\">Maximum Risk: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Potential obligation to purchase shares at $100, leading to significant losses if the stock price declines substantially.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr class=\"\" data-start=\"3738\" data-end=\"3741\" \/>\n<h4 data-start=\"3743\" data-end=\"3768\">4. ArcBest (ARCB)<\/h4>\n<ul data-start=\"3770\" data-end=\"3932\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3770\" data-end=\"3932\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3772\" data-end=\"3932\">Stock Price on March 26, 2025: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Closed at $73.68<\/span> \u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"3955\" data-end=\"4170\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"3957\" data-end=\"4051\">Sell <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">5 contracts of the $75 puts at $11 per contract.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"4054\" data-end=\"4170\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4054\" data-end=\"4170\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4056\" data-end=\"4170\">Total Premium Collected: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$5,500.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4171\" data-end=\"4492\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4173\" data-end=\"4266\">Buy <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">10 contracts of the $70\u2013$90 call spreads.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"4269\" data-end=\"4492\">\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4269\" data-end=\"4374\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4271\" data-end=\"4374\">Spread Width: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$20.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4269\" data-end=\"4374\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4271\" data-end=\"4374\">Total Potential Upside: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\" style=\"font-family: Verdana, BlinkMacSystemFont, -apple-system, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Open Sans', 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">$20,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4493\" data-end=\"4601\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4495\" data-end=\"4601\">Net Cash Outlay: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$1,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4602\" data-end=\"4719\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4604\" data-end=\"4719\">Maximum Potential Profit: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">$19,000.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"\" data-start=\"4847\" data-end=\"4952\">\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"4849\" data-end=\"4952\">Maximum Risk: <span class=\"relative -mx-px my-[-0.2rem] rounded-sm px-px py-[0.2rem]\">Potential obligation to purchase shares at $75, leading to significant losses if the stock price declines substantially.<\/span>\u200b<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" data-start=\"3264\" data-end=\"3479\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">*****<\/p>\n<p class=\"whitespace-pre-wrap break-words\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1614357595527000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFYqMLCLryontJKNA2_zPqFOeKskA\">What do we do at PSW?<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/Philstockworld\/videos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1614357595527000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFYqMLCLryontJKNA2_zPqFOeKskA\">Watch our recently posted weekly webinars to find out, here &gt;<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"whitespace-pre-wrap break-words\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/amember\/signup\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe to Trend Watcher and join us for live, weekly webinars! <\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>[ctct form=&#8221;12730731&#8243; show_title=&#8221;false&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this three-part series, Phil Davis joins Greg Bonnell of BNN Bloomberg to break down the volatile start to 2025. From rising tariffs to shifting investor sentiment, Phil offers a sharp take on how to navigate uncertainty with a value-driven approach. Episode 1: Market volatility, tariff risks, and where investors should look for opportunity. Episode [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":12806033,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25411,45,26922,21,1,12,26306],"tags":[25441,25471,22131],"class_list":{"0":"post-12806032","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-moneytalk","8":"category-appears-on-main-page","9":"category-market-news","10":"category-available","11":"category-uncategorized","12":"category-phils-favorites","13":"category-webinars","14":"tag-bnn-money-talk","15":"tag-money-talk","16":"tag-webinar"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12806032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12806032"}],"version-history":[{"count":26,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12806032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12806126,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12806032\/revisions\/12806126"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12806033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12806032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12806032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.philstockworld.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12806032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}